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22.02.201901:07 Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBP/USD. February 21st. Results of the day. The EU is not against moving the date of Brexit, an opinion shared by ministers of the British Parliament

Long-term review
This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

4-hour timeframe

Exchange Rates 22.02.2019 analysis

The amplitude of the last 5 days (high-low): 117p - 113p - 50p - 177p - 97p.

Average amplitude for the last 5 days: 111p (107p).

On Thursday, February 21, the British pound sterling also showed an upward movement. However, in general, we can not say that this strengthening of the pound sterling was provoked by some fundamental event. First, the upward movement was not so strong, and secondly, no important macroeconomic reports were published in the UK for today. The pullback can only be a reaction to yesterday's publication of the Fed's minutes, which, firstly, indicated a possible curtailment of the Fed's balance reduction program, and secondly, that a new increase in the key rate will be possible only if inflation accelerates. In general, the minutes can be called "dovish", however, the essence of this document is not in itself of crucial importance. The specific decisions of the regulator, the specific actions are important. In general, in the near future, the pair might once again rush downwards. Meanwhile, several ministers of the British Parliament threatened Theresa May with a "riot" if she did not postpone withdrawal from the EU at a later date and thereby lose the opportunity to blackmail Parliament with a "hard" Brexit. The Spanish Foreign Ministry also said that a new agreement is already being developed in Brussels, but it is not known how much this information is true. So far, EU officials have only stated that they are not against the postponement of the UK's exit from the EU. Thus, there is no unambiguously positive information for the pound sterling, which means that the pair will still be prone to downward movement.

Trading recommendations:

The GBP/USD currency pair has overcome the level of 1.3058, but in the coming hours it can start a new round of correction, which will be signaled by the MACD indicator turning down.

Sell positions can be seen again with a view to 1.2872, if bears can seize the initiative on the instrument and gain a foothold below the Kijun-sen critical line.

In addition to the technical picture, fundamental data and the timing of their release should also be taken into account.

Explanation of illustration:

Ichimoku Indicator:

Tenkan-sen-red line.

Kijun-sen – blue line.

Senkou span a – light brown dotted line.

Senkou span B – light purple dotted line.

Chikou span – green line.

Bollinger Bands Indicator:

3 yellow lines.

MACD:

Red line and histogram with white bars in the indicator window.

Paolo Greco
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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