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18.07.201917:37 Forex Analysis & Reviews: July 18, 2019 : EUR/USD maintains short-term bearish outlook below 1.1235.

Long-term review
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Exchange Rates 18.07.2019 analysis

Back in June, Temporary Bullish breakout above 1.1335 was demonstrated (suggesting a high probability bullish continuation pattern).

However, the EURUSD looked overbought around 1.1400 facing a confluence of supply levels.

Thus, a bearish movement was initiated towards 1.1275 followed by a deeper bearish decline towards 1.1235 (the lower limit of the newly-established bullish channel) which failed to provide enough bullish support for the EUR/USD.

Recent bearish breakdown below 1.1235 invited further bearish momentum to move towards 1.1175.

However, significant bullish momentum was earlier demonstrated around 1.1200 bringing the EUR/USD pair again above 1.1235.

That's why, the recent bullish pullback was expected to pursue towards the price zone around 1.1275 where a confluence of resistance/supply levels came to meet the pair.

A recent double-top Bearish pattern was demonstrated around the price zone of 1.1275 where a valid Intraday SELL position was suggested in previous articles.

Recent Bearish breakdown of the pattern neckline around (1.1235) confirms the short-term trend reversal into bearish towards 1.1175.

The recent bullish pullback towards the depicted key zone around 1.1235 was suggested be considered as a valid SELL entry.

Fortunately, evident bearish rejection (bearish engulfing H4 candlestick) was recently expressed around 1.1235. This supports the suggested bearish trade which is running in profits.

On the other hand, any bullish breakout above (1.1235-1.1250) should be watched as it brings the EUR/USD pair again between depicted price-zones (1.1235-1.1275) until another breakout attempt is demonstrated in either directions (More probably to the downside).

Trade recommendations :

For Intraday traders, a valid SELL entry can be offered at retesting of the broken neckline around 1.1235.

Initial Target levels to be located around 1.1200 and 1.1175.

Stop Loss should be placed above 1.1260.

Mohamed Samy
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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