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13.12.201808:08 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD December 13, 2018

Long-term review
This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

GBP/USD

On Wednesday, the British Parliament voted on a vote of confidence in Prime Minister Theresa May. The initiative of the "48 group" (the necessary number of letters from conservative deputies to initiate a vote of no confidence) failed — May received the support of 200 deputies from the required minimum of 158. And, as we expected earlier, several conservatives changed their decision at the last moment and voted in support of May. This could mean that Brexit will take place with a good deal. The Parliament must ratify the agreement by January 21.

Thus, the tension for a month is reset. But the pound does not have a clear outlook for the growth scenario. As before, it cannot rise in the medium term only on one news, because it only means that the situation on Brexit has not actually changed, so our scenario of the pound falling "on the fact" (exit from the EU) remains.

In the current situation, we expect a reversal of the price from the Krusenstern line on the four-hour chart, the withdrawal of the price under the embedded price channel line (1.2528) and a further decline to 1.2400.

Exchange Rates 13.12.2018 analysis

Exchange Rates 13.12.2018 analysis

Laurie Bailey
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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