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16.06.202109:19 Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD Throwback Ahead Of FOMC!

This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

EUR/USD has found strong support in the short term and now is pressuring the immediate resistance levels again. DXY's decline forced the greenback to depreciate versus its rivals.

Fundamentally, the USD was punished by the US retail sales data reported yesterday. The Retail Sales dropped by 1.3% in May versus a 0.6% drop expected, while the Core Retail Sales dropped by 0.7% even if the specialists have expected to see a 0.4% growth.

The US PPI, Core PPI, and Industrial Production have come in better than expected, but have failed to keep the Dollar higher.

EUR/USD Downside Seems Limited!

Exchange Rates 16.06.2021 analysis

EUR/USD is pressuring the 1.2132 and the 23.6% retracement level. It remains to see what will really happen as the FOMC meeting could shake the markets tonight. The FOMC Press Conference, FOMC Statement, and the FOMC Economic Projections could bring high volatility.

The FED is expected to maintain its Federal Funds Rate unchanged at 0.25%. Still, any hint regarding a potential rate hike could bring sharp movements.

The pressure remains high as long as it stays below the weekly pivot point (1.2139) and below 23.6%.

EUR/USD Outlook!

Making a new lower low, closing below 1.2091, is seen as a bearish signal which could activate a larger correction.

In the short term, jumping and closing above 1.2147 could signal a potential bullish momentum.

Ralph Shedler
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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