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Yesterday, the pair tested the monthly CZ of June and went beyond the weekly average move. This makes it necessary to completely close a short position and consider a buy pattern. The likelihood of the closing of trading below 1.3182 in June is 30%. Therefore, sales from current levels are not profitable.
It is important to note that going beyond the weekly move already provides an opportunity to earn in 9 similar cases out of 10. Any purchase pattern is required to work towards the level of 1.3288.
An alternative model of continuing the fall has a probability of less than 30%, which makes any sales from current levels up to the level of 1.3288 not profitable at a distance. It is not necessary to consider sales within the daily range since the probability of their development will not allow obtaining a favorable risk-to-profit ratio.
Daily CZ - daily control zone. The area formed by important data from the futures market, which changes several times a year.
Weekly CZ - weekly control zone. The area formed by marks from the important futures market, which changes several times a year.
Monthly CZ - monthly control zone. The area is a reflection of the average volatility over the past year.
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