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16.04.202008:51 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading plan for EUR/USD for April 16, 2020.

This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

Exchange Rates 16.04.2020 analysis

On Wednesday, the US market fell, finally noticing the negative state of the economy. Above is the S&P 500 daily chart.

Meanwhile, oil reserves in US reached 19.2 million barrels, so price dropped to $ 19.8

JPMorgan reported a -69% drop in the 1st quarter profit.

Retail sales in US for the month of March fell to -8%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell to minus 78 in April.

Today, the weekly report on the US labor market will come out at 13:30 London time. It will contain the latest data on applications for unemployment benefits, which is expected to reach 5-6.5 million.

US and EU authorities are actively discussing ways on how they can gradually lift the quarantine measures. Shops and enterprises are already opened in some parts of Italy. Germany, on the other hand, will start on May 3.

Coronavirus update:

US: The number of infected is still high - 644,000. Infection rate is below 5% (+30,000 per day). Unfortunately, death toll is +2,482 per day.

New York - 214,000 cases. Infection rate is + 5% (+11,000 per day). Death toll is 752 per day.

Europe: Death toll in France is +1,438 per day. Infection rate is + 3%.

Death toll in Italy and Spain: 500-600 per day.

Conclusions: The pandemic is slowly receding in the US. Although the situation in Europe is stabilizing, the situation in southern countries, such as Britain and France, is still complicated. Continuing the quarantine measures is recommended.

Unfortunately, the quarantine measures are affecting economies negatively. Authorities are forced to try finding a balance - impose partial quarantine while gradually reopening the economy. Thus, US and EU economies are likely to reopen by mid-May.

Exchange Rates 16.04.2020 analysis

Euro declined on Wednesday, after the report that EU will allocate € 3 trillion to support the economy.

Employment report will come out at 13:30 London time.

Open buy positions from 1.0990.

Open sell positions from 1.0765.

Jozef Kovach
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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