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07.05.202018:23 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Comprehensive analysis of movement options for #USDX vs EUR/GBP, GBP/JPY, and EUR/JPY (Daily) in May 2020

Long-term review
This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

Minuette operational scale (H4)

May options for the development of the movement of the dollar index #USDX and the main cross-instruments EUR/GBP, GBP/JPY, and EUR/JPY in the daily timeframe.

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US dollar index

In May 2020, the development of the movement of the dollar index #USDX will be due to the development and direction of the breakdown of the boundaries of the 1/2 Median Line channel (100.90-99.90-98.95) of the Minor operational scale -see the details of working out this channel on the animated chart.

If the lower border of the 1/2 medium Line Minor channel is broken - the support level of 98.95 - the development of the dollar index movement will again occur in the equilibrium zone (99.55-98.57-97.55) of the Minor operational scale forks, and if there is a breakdown of ISL61.8 Minor (97.55), then the downward movement of #USDX can be continued to the final line of FSL Minor (96.00).

A breakdown of the resistance level of 100.90 at the upper border of the 1/2 Median Line channel in the Minor operational scale will make it relevant to develop the upward movement of the dollar index to the borders of the 1/2 Median Line channel (102.20-103.25-104.30) of the Minuette operating scale fork.

The layout of the #USDX movement options in May 2020 is shown on the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 07.05.2020 analysis

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Euro vs Great Britain pound

The development of the movement of the "main" EUR/GBP cross-instrument in May 2020 will be determined by the development and direction of the breakdown of the range:

  • resistance level of 0.8780 on the initial line of the SSL of the Minuette operational scale fork;
  • support level of 0.8705 on the control line LTL of the Minuette operational scale fork.

When the initial line is broken, SSL Minute - the resistance level of 0.8780 - the development of the upward movement of EUR/GBP to the targets:

  • ultimate Shiff Line Minor (0.8880);
  • SSL Minor starting line (0.8925);
  • channel 1/2 Median Line Minor (0.9150-0.9230-0.9320).

A breakdown of the LTL control line of the Minuette operational scale fork - the support level of 0.8705 - followed by an update of the local minimum of 0.8670 will direct the downward movement of this cross-instrument to the boundaries of the equilibrium zone (0.8510-0.8380-0.8240) of the Minor operational scale fork.

The options for EUR/GBP movement in May 2020, depending on the processing of the 1/2ML Minute channel, are shown on the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 07.05.2020 analysis

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Great Britain pound vs Japanese yen

The development of the movement of the cross-instrument GBP/JPY in May 2020 will also be due to the development and direction of the breakdown of the range:

  • resistance of 131.10 on line reaction RL38.2 trading recommendations;
  • support level of 129.30 at the upper boundary ISL38.2 equilibrium zone of the Minor operational scale fork.

Breakdown of the reaction line RL38. 2 Minute - the resistance level of 131.10 will direct the movement of GBP/JPY to the borders of the channel 1/2 Median Line (132.05-134.85-137.45) and equilibrium zones (138.30-141.90-145.45) of the Minuette operational scale fork.

If the support level of 129.30 (ISL38.2 Minor) breaks, the movement of this cross-instrument will again occur in the equilibrium zone (129.30 - 125.70 - 122.50) of the Minor operational scale fork.

Options for the movement of GBP/JPY in May 2020 are shown on the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 07.05.2020 analysis

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Euro vs Japanese yen

Range development and breakdown direction:

  • resistance level is 115.25 at the lower border of the channel 1/2 Median Line of the Minor operational scale forks;
  • support level of 114.55 on the initial SSL line of the Minuette operational scale fork.

And it will determine the development of the EUR/JPY cross-instrument movement in May 2020.

Breakdown of the resistance level 115.25 return of the development of the EUR/JPY movement to the 1/2 channel Median Line Minor (115.25-116.45-117.65) with the prospect of reaching the borders of the equilibrium zone (118.05-119.15-120.35) of the Minuette operational scale fork.

In the event of a breakdown of the initial SSL of the Minuette operational scale fork - support level 114.55 - and the subsequent update of the local minimum 114.40 - the downward movement of EUR/JPY can be continued to the warning line LWL38. 2 (112.50) of the Minor operational scale fork with the prospect of reaching the control line LTL Minor (111.00).

The markup of the EUR/JPY movement options in May 2020 is shown on the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 07.05.2020 analysis

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The review is compiled without taking into account the news background, the opening of trading sessions of the main financial centers, and is not a guide to action (placing "sell" or "buy" orders).

Formula for calculating the dollar index:

USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0. 036.

Where the power coefficients correspond to the weights of currencies in the basket:

Euro - 57.6 %;

Yen - 13.6 %;

Pound - 11.9 %;

Canadian dollar - 9.1 %;

Swedish Krona - 4.2 V %;

Swiss franc - 3.6 %.

The first coefficient in the formula brings the index value to 100 on the starting date - March 1973, when the main currencies began to be freely quoted relative to each other.

Ratu Taslim
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024

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