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06.11.201509:48 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Gold technical analysis for November 6, 2015

Long-term review

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Gold price has extended its decline towards the $1,100 support. I expect a bounce towards $1,130-40 where the bullish and bearish scenarios will be tested.

Blue lines - bearish scenario

Blue upward sloping line - trend line support (broken)

Red line - bullish scenario

Gold price is trading below the Ichimoku cloud. The stochastics are at oversold levels and turning upwards while price is making new lows. This is a bullish divergence. I expect Gold price to bounce towards $1,130. Minimum bounce expected towards $1,120 where we find the broken upward sloping trend line support. We might get a rejection at that level. Most probable scenario is to see a bounce towards the 38% Fibonacci retracement where we will see the real strength of bulls.

Blue line - support (broken)

The weekly chart is very weak as price has easily broken below the upward sloping blue trend line support. The long-term trend remains bearish as long as price is below the Ichimoku cloud. Medium and short-term trend remain bearish after breaking below $1,140. A bearish target is $1,030-$980.

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