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22.03.201711:33 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Global macro overview for 22/03/2017

Long-term review
This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

Global macro overview for 22/03/2017:

The U.K. Consumer Price Index rises to 2.3%, the highest level since 2013 and consumer prices rose 0.7% in February compared with consensus forecasts of a 0.5% gain. The underlying annual rate also increased to 2.0% from 1.6% previously and compared with expectations of a smaller advance to 1.8%. The biggest price pressure was noticed in food (0.3% increase), transport, housing and household services. In conclusion, after the clear increase in latest inflationary pressures, the global investors will tend to increase speculation that the Bank of England will move quicker than expected to an increase in interest rates. As we remember, at the last week BoE meeting, policymaker Forbes already called for an immediate increase in rates given inflation trends. So far the rest of the policymakers are more hesitant and uncertain, but this might change very fast given the recent inflation data.

Let's now take a look at the GBP/USD technical picture at the H4 timeframe. The market is trading around the 78%Fibo at the level of 1.2471, but the overbought market conditions might suggest that a corrective move towards the next technical support at the level of 1.2437 is next. Moreover, the correction might even extend towards the golden trend line support around the level of 1.2400.

Exchange Rates 22.03.2017 analysis

Sebastian Seliga
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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