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The USD/JPY pair rallied in the short term registering a new high of 133.50. Now, it has retreated a little to retest the near-term support levels before jumping higher again. The bias is bullish in the short term as the JPY was weakened by the Yen Futures' drop.
Today, the Japanese economic data came in mixed. The Housing Starts dropped by 0.3% versus 0.5% drop expected, Retail Sales rose by 6.6% beating the 5.9% growth forecasted, Prelim Industrial Production surged by 4.5% exceeding the 2.8% growth estimated, while Tokyo Core CPI reported a 3.2% growth versus the 3.1% growth expected. Unfortunately for the JPY, the Unemployment Rate increased unexpectedly from 2.4% to 2.6%.
Later today, the US data could bring high action. The Core PCE Price Index is seen as a high-impact event. The indicator is expected to report a 0.4% growth, Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment could drop from 63.4 to 63.1, while Chicago PMI could be reported at 43.1 points, below 43.6 points in the previous reporting period.
Technically, the currency pair jumped above the 133.00 psychological level but failed to stay above it. Now, it has retested the median line (ml) which represents a dynamic support.
The R1 of 132.59 and the 132.18 represent downside obstacles as well. As long as it stays above these downside obstacles, USD/JPY could extend its growth.
Staying above the median line (ml), testing and retesting this dynamic support and consolidation above 133.00 psychological level signals further growth and is seen as a new buying opportunity. Also, a new higher high and a bullish closure above today's high of 133.50 activates a strong rally.
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