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Early in the European session, Gold is trading around 1,992.89, below the 0/8 Murray, and below the 21 SMA and the 200 EMA. The H4 chart shows that the XAU is under strong bearish pressure but it could have found support at the bottom of the downtrend channel formed January 30.
Yesterday, gold fell below the 200 EMA and after its failed attempt to break the bearish channel, fell after the publication of inflation data from the United States. The XAU/USD pair reached a low of 1,989. This level was last seen in December last year and is currently consolidating above it.
Investors expected US inflation to be less than 2.9%. However, the annual CPI rose to 3.1% above the consensus. This benefitted the US dollar's strengthening as investors believed that the FED would prolong the waiting period before monetary easing through rate cuts.
In the next few hours, it is expected that gold can recover from the strong downward pressure only if it consolidates above the bottom of the downtrend channel between 1,982 and 1,990.
The eagle indicator reached the extremely oversold zone. So, a technical correction is imminent in the next few hours or days and gold could reach 2,005, a level where the daily pivot point is located, and could even reach the top of the downtrend channel around 2,024.
Our outlook will be positive to buy with a technical rebound only if gold consolidates above 1,990 to 1,982 with targets at the psychological level of 2,000 and 2,012.
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