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Gold continues to show intraday growth, confidently holding above the key $2900 level. Investors remain cautious due to the potential escalation of global trade tensions, driven by the protectionist policies of U.S. President Donald Trump.
Expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, supported by unexpectedly weak U.S. retail sales and inflation signals, are also boosting demand for the precious metal. However, the delay in retaliatory tariffs and optimism surrounding negotiations to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict are maintaining a generally positive market sentiment.
At the same time, the rise in U.S. Treasury yields is helping the dollar recover from its lowest level since December 17, which is limiting further upside for gold.
Fundamental factors continue to favor bullish momentum, suggesting that any pullback could be viewed as a buying opportunity.
From a technical perspective, oscillators on the daily chart remain in positive territory, indicating that the path of least resistance is still upward. However, the daily RSI is approaching overbought territory, signaling potential resistance near the $2925–$2930 range. A break above this area would open the door toward the historical high of $2942–$2943 and beyond.
On the other hand, any weakness below the $2900 level is likely to find support at $2880. Further declines toward $2860–$2855 could be considered as buying opportunities, helping to limit losses to $2834. However, a break below this level could trigger a technical sell-off, leading to further declines toward $2815, then the key psychological level of $2800, with additional support around $2785–$2784.
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