30.06.202510:40 Forex-elemzések és áttekintések: Technical Analysis for the Week of June 30 – July 5: EUR/USD Currency Pair

Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)

This week, the market may start declining from the 1.1718 level (the closing of the last weekly candle), targeting 1.1652 — the 14.6% retracement level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may reverse upward toward 1.1709 — the historical resistance level (blue dashed line).

Fig. 1 (Weekly Chart)

Comprehensive Analysis:

• Indicator analysis – downward
• Fibonacci levels – downward
• Volume – downward
• Candlestick analysis – downward
• Trend analysis – downward
• Bollinger Bands – downward
• Monthly chart – downward

Conclusion based on comprehensive analysis: downward movement

Overall Weekly Candle Outlook for EUR/USD (Weekly Chart):

The price is most likely to exhibit a bearish trend throughout the week, with no upper shadow on the weekly black candle (indicating downward movement on Monday), and a lower shadow appearing by Friday (indicating a potential upward move at the end of the week).

Alternative Scenario:

From the 1.1718 level (closing of the last weekly candle), the pair may begin a downward movement toward 1.1590 — the 23.6% retracement level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.1652 — the 14.6% retracement level (blue dashed line).