20.03.202612:31 Forex-elemzések és áttekintések: GBP/USD: Tips for Beginner Traders on March 20th (U.S. Session)

Trade Review and Tips for Trading the British Pound

The test of the 1.3415 level occurred when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move upward from the zero line, confirming a proper entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by 18 points.

Amid the absence of relevant U.S. economic data during the American trading session, market participants' attention is inevitably shifting toward geopolitical factors—primarily the situation in the Middle East. The escalation of tensions involving the U.S., Israel, and Iran is becoming the key factor shaping sentiment. Investors and speculators will closely monitor any news, official statements, and developments in diplomatic or military actions that could affect regional stability. This uncertainty typically leads to increased volatility in financial markets. Currency pairs involving the U.S. dollar, including the British pound, may show unstable behavior, reacting to expected or actual consequences of rising tensions.

As for the intraday strategy, I will mainly rely on the implementation of Scenarios No. 1 and No. 2.

Buy Signal

Scenario No. 1: I plan to buy the pound today upon reaching the entry point around 1.3406 (green line on the chart), with a target of 1.3452 (thicker green line on the chart). Around 1.3452, I will exit long positions and open short positions in the opposite direction (targeting a 30–35 point move). Growth in the pound today can only be expected within the framework of yesterday's trend.Important: Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just beginning to rise.

Scenario No. 2: I also plan to buy the pound if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.3381 level while the MACD indicator is in the oversold zone. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to an upward reversal. A move toward 1.3406 and 1.3452 can be expected.

Sell Signal

Scenario No. 1: I plan to sell the pound after a breakout below the 1.3381 level (red line on the chart), which could lead to a rapid decline. The key target for sellers will be 1.3348, where I will exit short positions and immediately open long positions in the opposite direction (targeting a 20–25 point move). Pressure on the pound may return at any moment.Important: Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just beginning to decline.

Scenario No. 2: I also plan to sell the pound if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.3406 level while the MACD indicator is in the overbought zone. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a downward reversal. A decline toward 1.3381 and 1.3348 can be expected.

What's on the Chart:

• Thin green line – entry price for buying the trading instrument
• Thick green line – suggested Take Profit level or area to lock in profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely
• Thin red line – entry price for selling the trading instrument
• Thick red line – suggested Take Profit level or area to lock in profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely
• MACD indicator – when entering the market, it is important to consider overbought and oversold zones

Important

Beginner Forex traders should make entry decisions very carefully. Before the release of major fundamental reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid sharp price swings. If you choose to trade during news releases, always place stop-loss orders to minimize losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit—especially if you do not use proper money management and trade large volumes.

Remember, successful trading requires a clear trading plan like the one outlined above. Spontaneous trading decisions based on current market conditions are a losing strategy for intraday traders.