06.05.202612:35 Forex-elemzések és áttekintések: GBP/JPY Price Analysis and Forecast: Prices Recover Amid Expectations of Yen Intervention

The GBP/JPY pair fell below the 211.00 level amid renewed rumors of possible government intervention aimed at supporting the Japanese yen. However, spot prices quickly recovered, rebounding from the 210.75 mark and are now trading above the psychological level of 212.00.

Recently released data from the Bank of Japan indicate that the Ministry of Finance (MOF) spent about 5.48 trillion yen (approximately $35 billion) to stabilize the yen after it weakened beyond the key psychological level of 160.00 against the US dollar. Market participants remain highly alert, expecting that Japanese authorities may intervene again to support the national currency. This factor was the main driver behind the sharp intraday decline in GBP/JPY.

Nevertheless, yen bulls remain cautious and are reluctant to take aggressive positions due to the lack of official confirmation of any intervention. Moreover, growing optimism about a possible peace agreement between the United States and Iran is reducing the yen's appeal as a safe-haven asset compared to the British pound. It is also worth noting the hawkish signal from the Bank of England, which suggests the possibility of interest rate hikes if inflation remains elevated—further limiting the downside potential for GBP/JPY.

From a technical perspective, spot prices remain resilient, holding above the 100-day simple moving average (SMA). Therefore, before opening short positions, it would be prudent to wait for stronger selling pressure below the 212.00 level or the 200-day SMA. Additionally, oscillators present mixed signals. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved into negative territory, confirming weakness among bulls.