15.04.2019: USD inches down as new trading week starts (USD, JPY, AUD, RUB)
The new trading week started in a positive mode. The appetite for risk increased despite mixed data from the central banks. The upbeat report on the Chinese exports, an uplift in the US banks’ revenues as well as renewed optimism on US-China trade talks boosted a rally in stocks and the Australian dollar.
During the Asian session the US dollar index tried to gain bullish momentum above the level of 97.00, having retreated from 96.80. On Friday the index pulled back sharply as the appetite for risky assets had increased amid lifted hopes for settlement of the ongoing trade conflict.
US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Beijing and Washington were making progress in trade talks. His comments shaped the risky sentiment on the market.
On Friday the sentiment was positive as well after the loans and trade reports from China. The USDJPY pair rose from 111.60 and hit the yearly high at 112.10. At the same time, the yield of 10-year US Treasuries advanced to 2.56% from 2.49% while the yield of 2-year bonds increased to 2.40% from 2.35%.
The AUDUSD pair lost ground as the spread in yields of 10-year US Treasuries and Australian bonds narrowed. The currency pair was trading at 0.7180. The fact that the aussie advanced amid diverging yields of the American and Australian bond yields is a sign that AUDUSD may continue rising and end this trading day above Friday’s high at 0.7192. If the pair settles above this level, then the bullish trend will gain momentum.
Furthermore, plans of the United States to take a milder approach towards China’s subsidies in an attempt to strike a trade deal increased chances of continuation of a bullish trend in the pair.
This week is going to be eventful for the United States. A deluge of economic statistics is expected, including the housing market data, the retail sales report, the industrial production report, and the trade balance data. This information will reflect the current conditions of the US economy. Furthermore, some of the Fed officials are scheduled to deliver speeches. So, time will show how the market situation will develop.
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