15.04.2019: News background restrains EUR rally (GBP, USD, EUR)
Risk appetite is rising as the last week’s developments keep on influencing the foreign exchange market on Monday.
Donald Trump attacked the greenback during the weekend. The US President accused the Federal Reserve of the slowing economic growth and declining stocks once again. There are rumors that the White House aims to gain control over the regulator’s monetary policy and appoint people loyal to Trump to the bank’s Board of Governors.
The US dollar started this week in the red zone. It had been mostly decreasing against its major counterparts in the beginning of the European session. The single currency did not miss the opportunity to take advantage of its rival’s weakness. In the middle of the session, the euro/dollar pair was trading at $1.1308, close to its Friday’s high. The further growth of the euro might be a sign of its new rally. However, its likelihood is not that high considering the news background.
On Saturday, during the IMF’s spring session, ECB President Mario Draghi confirmed fears regarding the eurozone’s economic growth in the second half of the current year. However, as the Chinese economy seems to stabilize, the outlook for the euro area economy becomes more positive as well. Traders should look at the data for several months to get convinced of the Chinese economy’s strength.
Even though Brexit is out of the spotlight, the memories of the recent events keep on influencing the pound’s movement. The British currency managed to inch up today. The pound/dollar pair is trading around $1.3111, above its Friday’s closing level. Although, the sentiment remains bearish.
The debates about Brexit will resume not sooner than early May. Perhaps, the UK Parliament will approve the European deal project after the Easter holidays. Meanwhile, there is almost no chance of success as negotiations with the Labour party continue. In case the parties get close to any compromise, the pound is expected to soar.
Uncertainty regarding the US-China trade talks still remains. Moreover, the European Union got also involved in this process. Today, after a long delay, the EU countries have agreed to formal trade negotiations with the United States.
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