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07.03.2019: Markets get ready for some turbulence (USD, JPY, AUD)

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The market sentiment is getting tensed up as the announcement of the ECB meeting’s outcome is approaching.
Despite yesterday’s disappointing US employment data from ADP, the US dollar index holds at highs near 96.90 amid the growing demand for the US government bonds as safe assets. This way investors prepare for the outcome of the European Central Bank’s meeting as well as tomorrow’s reports from the US Department of Labor.
Meanwhile, the Japanese currency also firmed for the same reason. The dollar/yen pair dropped to 111.60. It has been trading sideways recently, so today’s minor correction turned out to be the low of the trading week.
On the other side, the aussie dollar that reflects the sentiment in the Asian and Pacific regions is influenced by other factors. The AUD/USD pair attempts to recover after the previous nosedive. Thus, today this trading instrument has already managed to reach 0.7040.
Interestingly, the market ignored the weak economic data from Australia as the country’s consumer activity showed a weaker-than-expected result in January. The month-on-month retail sales index rose only by 0.1% instead of anticipated 0.3%.
Besides, market participants considered another report from Australia – the trade balance data. Contrary to the pessimistic forecast, the trade surplus reached its 2-year high due to the sharpest spike of exports in the history of statistics.
Such a positive news allows to expect the aussie dollar to develop a full-blown rally. However, this rally seems to be a bit slow so far.

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