11.03.2019: Market ignores US retail sales data, yet USD may get back to highs (USD, DJIA)
The strong US statistical data is supposed to return investors’ interest. However, something seems to be going wrong.
After Friday’s disappointing data from the US labor market, traders could not wait for today’s report to reveal the state of the US consumer goods sector. Notably, this is a key sector of the American economy. So, the figures turned out to be higher-than-expected. Retail sales rose by 0.2% in January, while experts anticipated the index to remain unchanged. Besides, retail sales excluding vehicles and fuel reading was also supposed to encouraged the market as it grew by 1.2%.
Nevertheless, investors are not rushing to buy the American currency. The downtrend of the US dollar index continues, it slid to 97.20 in the beginning of the American trade.
This way traders express their dislike of the comments by the Fed’s chairman about the necessity to refrain from a hasty interest rate increase. Moreover, last weekend Jerome Powell noted that such data as the pace of the economy’s growth, creation of new jobs, increase in salaries, and inflation, was to be considered in order to decide whether the monetary policy should be tightened. Apart of salaries, all the mentioned indicators show a negative dynamic.
The stock market is not that strong as well. The Dow Jones index left its previous highs and started today’s session near 25,300 points amid the weak data from the US labor market and the nosedive of Boeing shares by more than 11% after the Chinese and Indonesian authorities ceased the operation of Boeing 737 aircraft after the crash in Ethiopia.
So, that is how trading goes in the first day of a new week. The market participants are awaiting the important report from the US tomorrow – the consumer price index. Meanwhile, the forecast is optimistic. If it is confirmed, the US dollar bulls may get back on track.
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