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01.02.2019: Everything depends on Donald Trump? (USDX, USD/JPY, AUD/USD)

On Thursday, traders were anticipating statements after the trade talks between the US and China. Top negotiators reported “substantial progress”. Yesterday Donald Trump said that he would meet with China’s President Xi Jinping soon to try and seal a comprehensive trade deal.
At the same time, President Trump signaled there could be delays if the talks fail to meet his goals. Besides, the US Commerce Secretary confessed that there is still a long path to a mutually beneficial trade deal. His comments raised doubts that the trade dispute would be settled in the short term.
So, the lack of investor confidence puts a lid on the greenback’s rally. Today the US dollar index rebounded in the Wall Street trade from 95.20 and gained 40 pips to trade at about 95.60.
The Asian trade revealed demand for safe haven assets. After a correctional decline, the dollar/yen pair is trading at the level slightly below 109.00.
Traders are disappointed about a private survey from Caixin Media Co. China’s factory sector contracted more in at the start of 2019 as Caixin manufacturing PMI fell to 48.3 in January from 49.7 in December. The reading undershot the forecast. Such downbeat data is fresh evidence of a slowdown in the global economy. In this context, the Japanese yen is winning favor with investors.
Thus, traders have a weighty argument for closing long deals on the AUD/USD pair. In the Asia-Pacific trade, the currency pair left 0.7280, the highest level since December 5, and shed 40 pips. Meanwhile, Australia’s producer price index dropped in the fourth quarter.
Experts say that major currencies are likely to make a downward correction versus the US dollar as the greenback could find support from the US manufacturing PMI by the Institute of Supple Management and a consumer sentiment index by the University of Michigan. So, the greenback could grow in the North American pre-market.

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