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11.04.2019: Market sentiment depends on US, China, and Brexit (USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDX)

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Forex calmed down following the eventful trading day which did not spring surprises. The Federal Reserve confirmed the patient approach in the minutes of the March policy meeting. At the same time, the ECB underscored growing risks to the eurozone’s economy. At the emergency summit, the EU leaders extended the deadline for the UK to leave the EU until October 31. Besides, the UK retains the right to exit the union before the deadline if the Brexit deal is ratified by British lawmakers earlier.
The dollar/yen pair was trading lower in the Asian session. Asian investors are in the wait-and-see mood despite welcome news on the trade talks between the US and China and the Brexit extension. The Financial Times reported that Washington and Beijing moved a step closer to making the trade deal. Today traders are anticipating a raft of economic data from the US.
The risk sentiment dampened in the Asian trade in light of mixed data from Japan. Foreign investment in Japan’s stocks contracted to 1,754.4 billion yen, but a volume of investment in foreign bonds rose by 1,463.7 billion yen.
Meanwhile, yields of 10-year US Treasuries which are views as a barometer of broader risk sentiment remained the unchanged at 2.47%.
In the Asian session, the AUD/USD pair dipped to 0.7165. Yesterday the pair hit a six-week high amid progress in the US – China trade talks and upbeat inflation data from Australia. However, mixed inflation data from China dented investor confidence.
China’s consumer price index slipped to 0.4% in March from 1.0% in February, missing expectations. On the plus side, a producer price index climbed 0.4% in annual terms in line with the forecast.
Another reason for cautious sentiment is a decline in Australia’s inflation expectations to 3.9% from 4.1% earlier. Negative data from Chiba are bearish for the Australian dollar.
Having absorbed a batch of macroeconomic data, investors are alert to a speech by Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Guy Debelle. Another important report is unemployment claims in the US.
The US dollar index shed 0.04% to 96,523, the lowest mark in two weeks.
At present market sentiment depends on developments in the US – China trade talks and Brexit-related news as these events are the main sources of risks. North Korea is another source of turbulence as its leader Kim Jong-un said that he is ready to deliver a “severe blow” to those who impose sanctions.

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