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Minuette operational scale (H4)
Before the spring worsens, here's a comprehensive analysis of the development options for the movement of the dollar index and "commodity" currency instruments #USDX vs AUD / USD vs USD / CAD vs NZD / USD.
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US dollar Index
The movement of the #USDX dollar index from February 28, 2020 will be due to the development and direction of the breakdown of the boundaries of 1/2 Median Line channel channel (99.00 - 98.70 - 98.35) of the Minuette operational scale forks. We look at the animated chart for the movement markings inside this zone.
The breakdown of the support level of 98.35 on the lower boundary of the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel will confirm that further the movement of the dollar index will occur within the equilibrium zone (98.35 - 97.90 - 97.45) of the Minuette operational scale forks.
In case of breakdown of the upper boundary of the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel - resistance level of 99.00 - the #USDX movement will continue inside the equilibrium zone (99.00 - 99.20 - 99.45) of the Minuette operational scale pitchfork with the prospect of reaching the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel boundaries (99.85 - 100.00 - 100.15).
The markup of #USDX movement options from February 28, 2020 is shown on the animated chart.
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Australian dollar vs US dollar
Range development and breakdown direction :
will begin to determine the development of the movement of the Australian dollar AUD / USD from February 28, 2020 .
The breakdown of the resistance level of 0.6580 is an option for the development of the movement of the Australian dollar within the boundaries of the 1/2 Median Line channel (0.6580 - 0.6595 - 0.6605) and the equilibrium zone (0.6615 - 0.6635 - 0.6655) of the Minuette operational scale forks with the prospect of reaching the lower boundary of the 1/2 Median Line channel Minuette (0.6670).
On the other hand, in case of breakdown of the start line SSL of the Minuette operational scale forks - the support level 0.6543 together with the control line LTL (0.6535) of the Minuette operational scale forks will direct the downward movement of AUD / USD to the warning line LWL38.2 Minuette (0.6444).
We look at the layout of the AUD / USD movement options from February 28, 2020 on the animated chart.
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US dollar vs Canadian dollar
From February 28, 2020, the development of the movement of the Canadian dollar USD / CAD will be determined by developing the boundaries of the equilibrium zones of the Minuette operational scale forks (1.3380 - 1.3350 - 1.3325) and Minuette (1.3370 - 1.3315 - 1.3260). The details of working out the boundary levels of these zones are shown in the animated chart.
The breakdown of the support level of 1.3260 at the lower boundary of the ISL38.2 equilibrium zone of the Minuette operational scale forks will make it possible to continue the downward movement of the Canadian dollar to the targets:
- the initial line SSL Minuette - 1.3245;
- control line LTL Minuette - 1.3233;
- local minimum - 1.3201;
- The final Schiff Line Minute is 1.3185.
Alternatively, the breakdown of the resistance level of 1.3380 at the upper boundary of ISL61.8 of the equilibrium zone of the Minuette operational scale forks will direct the development of the upward movement of USD / CAD to the final Schiff Line Minuette (1.3420) and the final line FSL Minuette (1.3465).
We look at the markup of USD / CAD movement options from February 28, 2020 on the animated chart.
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New Zealand dollar vs US dollar
The development of the movement of the New Zealand dollar NZD / USD from February 28, 2020 will depend on the development and direction of the breakdown of the range :
In the event of a breakdown of the resistance level 0.6320, the NZD / USD movement will continue in the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel (0.6320 - 0.6335 - 0.6350) with the prospect of reaching the boundaries of the equilibrium zone (0.6365 - 0.6390 - 0.6415) of the Minuette operational scale forks.
On the contrary, with the breakdown of the support level of 0.6305 at ISL38.2 Minuette, the development of the movement of the New Zealand dollar in the equilibrium zone (0.6305 - 0.6205 - 0.6110) of the Minuette operational scale forks, taking into account the development of the initial SSL (0.6281) and control LTL (0.6723) lines of the Minuette operational scale forks, will become relevant.
We look at the markup of the NZD / USD movement options from February 28, 2020 on the animated chart.
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The review was compiled without taking into account the news background. Thus, the opening trading sessions of major financial centers does not serve as a guide to action (placing orders "sell" or "buy").
The formula for calculating the dollar index:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
where the power coefficients correspond to the weights of the currencies in the basket:
Euro - 57.6%;
Yen - 13.6%;
Pound Sterling - 11.9%;
Canadian dollar - 9.1%;
Swedish krona - 4.2%;
Swiss franc - 3.6%.
The first coefficient in the formula leads the index to 100 at the starting date - March 1973, when the main currencies began to be freely quoted relative to each other.
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