16.10.201717:56 Forex-elemzések és áttekintések: Fundamental Analysis of USD/JPY for October 16, 2017

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USD/JPY has been quite bearish recently after bouncing off 113.00-40 resistance area. After the dovish FOMC Meeting last week and recent worse economic reports from the US, JPY has gained notably against USD recently. Yellen recently stated that low inflation effected the growth of USD, so December Rate Hike is still quite uncertain. On the JPY side, amid quantitative easing the Bank of Japan is looking forward for a weaker JPY compared to USD to support the future trades. Today, Japan's Revised Industrial Production report was published with a decreased value of 2.0% which was expected to be unchanged at 2.1%. Despite the worse economic report JPY, strength sustained in the market which indicates that USD is a very weak currency. On the USD side, today Empire State Manufacturing Index report was published with a significant increase to 30.2 from the previous figure of 24.4 which was expected to decrease to 20.3. Despite the positive economic reports, USD could not provide any pressure to push against JPY today. To sum up, USD is currently weaker in comparison to JPY now which is being reflected in the market. JPY is expected to push the price lower in the coming days if the US does not come up with high impact positive economic report to interfere in the bearish trend.

Now let us look at the technical chart. The price is currently residing below the dynamic level of 20 EMA after being bearish straight for a week. The price is expected to push lower towards 110.60 in the coming days before it shows any directional change of bullish price action. As the price remains below the 20 EMA and 113.00-40 resistance area with a daily close, the bearish bias is expected to continue further.

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