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31.01.201909:19 Forex-elemzések és áttekintések: GBP / USD. January 31st. The trading system. "Regression Channels". Theresa May goes to Brussels again

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Ezeket az információkat marketingkommunikációnk részeként küldjük el lakossági és professzionális ügyfeleink számára. Nem tartalmaznak és nem tekintendők befektetési tanácsnak vagy javaslatnak, sem bármilyen pénzügyi instrumentummal való tranzakcióra vagy kereskedési stratégia használatára irányuló ajánlatnak vagy felkérésnek. A korábbi teljesítmény nem garantálja vagy jósolja meg a jövőbenit. Az Instant Trading EU Ltd. nem képviseli vagy garantálja a szolgáltatott információk pontosságát vagy teljességét, illetve nem felelős bármely, az elemzéseken, előrejelzéseken vagy a Vállalat munkatársa által adott információkon alapuló befektetések esetleges veszteségéért. A teljes felelősségkizárás itt található.

4-hour timeframe

Exchange Rates 31.01.2019 analysis

Technical details:

The senior linear regression channel: direction - sideways.

The younger linear regression channel: direction - up.

Moving average (20; smoothed) - up.

CCI: 6.7907

The currency pair GBP / USD on Thursday, January 31, is trying to resume an upward movement. However, the information received from the Fed meeting yesterday did not affect the movement of the pair too much, which is very surprising. The pound sterling has strengthened quite strongly in recent weeks, from our point of view, rather unfoundedly, so now traders are already seriously thinking over long positions. This is precisely the reason for the weak reaction to the fed pigeon rhetoric. It seems that traders are preparing for new serious sales of the pair, as the question on Brexit is still not resolved, Theresa May will have new negotiations with EU leaders, and the fact that the parties do not want a "tough" Brexit does not guarantee its absence in the future. By the way, European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker has already stated that the decision of the British Parliament increases the chances of just an uncontrollable version of Brexit. French President Emmanuel Macron said that the current version of the Brexit agreement is the best possible and is not subject to revision. In general, Theresa May, who is already going to Brussels for new negotiations, will be extremely difficult to convince Europe of new concessions. The amendment adopted by the British Parliament, prohibiting withdrawal from the EU without an "agreement", means nothing in fact since if there is no agreement, there will be no "soft" Brexit.

Nearest support levels:

S1 - 1.3062

S2 - 1.3000

S3 - 1.2939

Nearest resistance levels:

R1 - 1.3123

R2 - 1.3184

R3 - 1.3245

Trading recommendations:

The currency pair GBP / USD has completed the correction. Thus, long positions with targets at 1.3123 and 1.3184 are now relevant, however, with long positions, we need to be careful now as the downtrend may begin.

Sell orders are recommended to open when the pair closes below the moving average line with the first target of 1.3000. In this case, the tool can proceed with the formation of a new downtrend.

In addition to the technical picture should also take into account the fundamental data and the time of their release.

Explanations for illustrations:

The senior linear regression channel is the blue lines of the unidirectional movement.

The junior linear channel is the purple lines of the unidirectional movement.

CCI is the blue line in the indicator regression window.

The moving average (20; smoothed) is the blue line on the price chart.

Murray levels - multi-colored horizontal stripes.

Heikin Ashi is an indicator that colors bars in blue or purple.

Paolo Greco
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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