04.08.202512:56 Forex-elemzések és áttekintések: US Market News Digest for August 4

Technical divergence signals possible S&P 500 correction

A divergence has been identified on the monthly chart of the S&P 500, and a 50% correction is expected toward the levels of 4,325, 3,810, or 3,209.

A reversal confirmation may come if the Kruzenshtern line is breached. Analysts advise investors to exercise caution when opening new positions.

Additional pressure on the index may come from tighter Fed monetary policy if inflation unexpectedly rises.

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Slowdown in US job growth and Trump's actions amplify market volatility

The stock market plunged sharply after US job growth slowed, reinforcing the impression of a market bubble.

Trump fired the head of the BLS, undermining trust in the data, while the high probability of Fed rate cuts failed to calm the market.

Such instability weakens confidence in the transparency of both statistics and policy. Follow the link for details.

Weak jobs report fuels rate cut expectations

Yesterday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 fell by 1.60% and 2.24% respectively, after employment data showed only 73,000 jobs added, increasing expectations of Fed rate cuts.

This pressure was also reflected in bond yield curves.

Investors are trimming risk assets while awaiting the Fed's decision.

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Corporate earnings grow despite market instability

Earnings reports on Wall Street are generating optimism, with corporate profits up by 9.8%.

However, the unstable equity market environment calls for caution, even though the long-term outlook remains positive.

Investors are focusing on the tech sector, which continues to show resilient growth. Follow the link for details.

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