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04.08.202512:56 Forex Analysis & Reviews: US Market News Digest for August 4

This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

Exchange Rates 04.08.2025 analysis

Technical divergence signals possible S&P 500 correction

A divergence has been identified on the monthly chart of the S&P 500, and a 50% correction is expected toward the levels of 4,325, 3,810, or 3,209.

A reversal confirmation may come if the Kruzenshtern line is breached. Analysts advise investors to exercise caution when opening new positions.

Additional pressure on the index may come from tighter Fed monetary policy if inflation unexpectedly rises.

Follow the link for details.

Exchange Rates 04.08.2025 analysis

Slowdown in US job growth and Trump's actions amplify market volatility

The stock market plunged sharply after US job growth slowed, reinforcing the impression of a market bubble.

Trump fired the head of the BLS, undermining trust in the data, while the high probability of Fed rate cuts failed to calm the market.

Such instability weakens confidence in the transparency of both statistics and policy. Follow the link for details.

Exchange Rates 04.08.2025 analysis

Weak jobs report fuels rate cut expectations

Yesterday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 fell by 1.60% and 2.24% respectively, after employment data showed only 73,000 jobs added, increasing expectations of Fed rate cuts.

This pressure was also reflected in bond yield curves.

Investors are trimming risk assets while awaiting the Fed's decision.

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Exchange Rates 04.08.2025 analysis

Corporate earnings grow despite market instability

Earnings reports on Wall Street are generating optimism, with corporate profits up by 9.8%.

However, the unstable equity market environment calls for caution, even though the long-term outlook remains positive.

Investors are focusing on the tech sector, which continues to show resilient growth. Follow the link for details.

Let us remind you that InstaForex offers the best conditions for trading stocks, indices, and derivatives, helping you profit effectively from market swings.

Ekaterina Kiseleva
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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