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24.06.201617:30 Forex-elemzések és áttekintések: USD/CAD intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for June 24, 2016

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Exchange Rates 24.06.2016 analysis
Exchange Rates 24.06.2016 analysis

On December 7, a bullish breakout above 1.3450 (upper limit of the recent consolidation range) enhanced the bullish side of the market. Hence a bullish visit to the resistance at 1.4120 (Fibonacci Expansion 100%) occurred.

Bullish persistence above 1.4150 enhanced the bullish side of the market towards 1.4650 (141.4% Fibonacci expansion) where an evident bearish rejection was expected (bearish engulfing weekly candlestick).

The 1.4120 level (Fibonacci Expansion 100%) stood as a significant resistance level where a significant bearish rejection was applied.

Although the area of 1.3050-1.3250 was expected to offer bullish support for the USD/CAD pair, the same price zone was broken as depicted on the daily chart.

Shortly after, the 1.3300 level stood as a significant resistance as it corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci level and the backside of the broken weekly uptrend where a valid sell entry was suggested on March 24.

Since then, the USD/CAD pair had been trapped within the consolidation range between 1.3300 and 1.3300 until a bearish breakout took place on April 11.

Shortly after the quick bearish decline took place below 1.3000, signs of bullish recovery were expressed around 1.2460.

A bullish pullback towards 1.3000 (61.8% Fibonacci level) was expected to offer a valid signal to sell the USD/CAD pair. However, a lack of significant bearish rejection was manifested during recent consolidations.

On May 18, temporary bullish fixation above 1.3000 (61.8% Fibonacci level) opened the way towards the 1.3180 level where significant bearish pressure was originated.

Bearish persistence below 1.3000-1.2970 (61.8% Fibonacci level) was needed to enhance bearish momentum in the market.

However, recent signs of bullish recovery were manifested around the price level of 1.2650 on June 9.

The current bullish pullback towards the price level of 1.3000-1.3070 (61.8% Fibonacci level) should be considered for another SELL entry. S/L should be placed above 1.3150. Initial T/P levels should be located at 1.2820 and 1.2710.

On the other hand, the price zone of 1.2400-1.2500 constitutes a significant support zone to be watched for BUY entries when enough bearish pressure is applied below 1.2650.

Mohamed Samy
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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