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26.04.201913:28 Forex Analysis & Reviews: The crisis is on the verge as global trade volumes have sunk significantly

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According to Bloomberg, world trade is declining at a rapid pace over the past 11 years since the 2008 financial crisis. The slowdown of the global economy is getting more and more evident, experts say.

Exchange Rates 26.04.2019 analysis

Between December 2018 and February 2019, the decline in world trade was almost 2%. The last time such a sharp peak of the experts recorded was in May 2009. According to analysts, what happened was affected by trade conflicts that the US unleashed around the world in 2018, as well as a fall in demand amid a general economic slowdown. Currently, Europe is on the verge of recession despite all of the incentives of the ECB. At the same time, the German economy, the leader of the European region is also experiencing significant fluctuations.

According to experts, the recent rally in stock markets, including emerging markets, only confirms the fact that the financial segment operates in isolation from the real economy. The low stock market activity allows market makers to manipulate indices at their discretion. Experts believe that the actions of the Central Bank can positively affect the situation but now the regulator has a lull.

The super-soft policy of world regulators has led to the growth of the debt "bubble", which has reached a large scale, they added. In this regard, any tightening of monetary policy will provoke an explosion and the consequences of which will be very difficult to eliminate.

Larisa Kolesnikova
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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