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04.06.202011:39 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trader's diary. June 4, 2020. Covid19 in Russia. Russian rouble. EURUSD

Essas informações são fornecidas a clientes profissionais e de varejo como parte da comunicação de marketing. Elas não contêm e não devem ser interpretadas como consultoria, recomendação de investimento ou uma oferta ou solicitação para se envolver em qualquer transação ou estratégia em instrumentos financeiros. O desempenho passado não é uma garantia ou previsão de desempenho futuro. A Instant Trading EU Ltd. não se responsabiliza pela exatidão ou integridade das informações fornecidas, ou por qualquer perda decorrente de qualquer investimento com base em análises, previsões ou outras informações fornecidas por um funcionário da Empresa, ou de outra forma. O termo de responsabilidade completo está disponível aqui.

Exchange Rates 04.06.2020 analysis

The number of active coronavirus cases in Moscow as of the morning of June 4 has decreased by 20%.

Exchange Rates 04.06.2020 analysis

This is a chart of active coronavirus cases in Russia (231,000 - the last column).

The situation across Russia is not as good as in Moscow. The number of patients still remains at the highest levels and does not fall. Given that Moscow, with its decline, is included in this chart, it becomes clear that the quantity of new cases in Russia, with the exception of Moscow, is growing.

The situation in Russia is expected to stabilize not earlier than July 4-6.

Exchange Rates 04.06.2020 analysis

As for the Russain rouble, you can start buying the US dollar and the euro for rubles.

As you can see, the rouble is starting to rebound from the new lows (chart). Sellers are running out of steam.

Strategically, there is no way for the price to go down. The greenback and the euro are expected to grow. Oil remains low enough and is likely to fall rather than grow. The Russian economy is in a very difficult situation because of the government's refusal to support citizens and small businesses financially. Demand has fallen and will be at low levels for a long time. Measures announced by the Russian government are very indirect.

Exchange Rates 04.06.2020 analysis

EUR/USD: The European Central Bank will hold a meeting today. The United States will deliver its weekly employment report.

It is better to buy the pair from the 1.1090 level, if there is a strong pullback.

Jozef Kovach
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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