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08.04.202105:50 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for USD/JPY on April 8, 2021

Essas informações são fornecidas a clientes profissionais e de varejo como parte da comunicação de marketing. Elas não contêm e não devem ser interpretadas como consultoria, recomendação de investimento ou uma oferta ou solicitação para se envolver em qualquer transação ou estratégia em instrumentos financeiros. O desempenho passado não é uma garantia ou previsão de desempenho futuro. A Instant Trading EU Ltd. não se responsabiliza pela exatidão ou integridade das informações fornecidas, ou por qualquer perda decorrente de qualquer investimento com base em análises, previsões ou outras informações fornecidas por um funcionário da Empresa, ou de outra forma. O termo de responsabilidade completo está disponível aqui.

USD/JPY

In yesterday's review, we expected that if the price settled around the 109.37 level, the price would continue to decline to the target level of 108.40. But the consolidation went higher, around Tuesday's low. The technical picture suggests two options for the development of the downward scenario:

Exchange Rates 08.04.2021 analysis

A - the price to fall to the 109.37 level and another consolidation to form on it, similar to yesterday's formation, which will form a technical pattern "base under the base", which is a pattern for continuing the trend (in our case, a downward one, and the target will be the 108.40 level).

B - the price to quickly surpass the 109.37 level, and an upward reversal is possible here without reaching the 108.40 target, that is, a false breakout of the 109.37 level.

The reversal scenario has one development option - reaching the 109.37 target level and turning it to the upside in line with the general strengthening of the US dollar.

Thus, the current situation is not certain, but ultimately it is conducive to the pair's growth. The targets are the same: 111.39, 112.16 (peak in March 2019).

Exchange Rates 08.04.2021 analysis

The Marlin oscillator is already in the negative zone on the daily chart. But these values are still small and in the future it can be transformed into a false entry into the negative area. Settling in the area below 109.37 according to plan "A" will situationally confirm Marlin's desire to move down without false movements until the price has reached the target level of 108.40.

We are waiting for the development of events. Opening positions in any direction, as you can see, is associated with increased uncertainty and risk.

Laurie Bailey
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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