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In the European session, Crude Oil (WTI - CL) is trading at 103.40 after having reached the low of 101.53. The price is currently bouncing and is likely to continue rising until reaching the 21 SMA located at 113.64.
On the other hand, we can see that since February 18 crude oil has been forming an uptrend channel. This time, the bottom of the channel coincides with the psychological level of $100. A technical bounce around this area could provide an opportunity to buy crude in the coming hours.
A daily close below 0/8 Murray and a sharp break of the uptrend channel could continue the bearish move towards 200 EMA located at $93.86.
After WTI peaked at 120.87, there was a strong technical correction of almost $20 in price, which is under downward pressure and being affected by the negative sentiment in equity markets and fears of a possible recession.
Concerns about the state of the global economy are driving equity markets to significant declines and boosting safe-haven assets such as Treasuries. Major stocks are falling as reflected in the major indices. As a result, crude oil is falling because it is correlated with the stock market.
Our trading plan for the next few hours is to buy crude above 103.00 with targets at 7/8 Murray at 106.25 at 2/8 Murray at 112.50. Or we can buy in case of a rebound from around the level of $100.00.
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