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06.12.202204:50 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 6, 2022

Essas informações são fornecidas a clientes profissionais e de varejo como parte da comunicação de marketing. Elas não contêm e não devem ser interpretadas como consultoria, recomendação de investimento ou uma oferta ou solicitação para se envolver em qualquer transação ou estratégia em instrumentos financeiros. O desempenho passado não é uma garantia ou previsão de desempenho futuro. A Instant Trading EU Ltd. não se responsabiliza pela exatidão ou integridade das informações fornecidas, ou por qualquer perda decorrente de qualquer investimento com base em análises, previsões ou outras informações fornecidas por um funcionário da Empresa, ou de outra forma. O termo de responsabilidade completo está disponível aqui.

Yesterday's strong data on factory orders and business activity in the US was able to stop the development of risk appetite. October Factory Orders were up 1% in October, November ISM Services PMI rose from 54.4 to 56.5. The dollar index was up 0.78%, the S&P 500 -1.79%, and oil -3.66% (WTI).

Exchange Rates 06.12.2022 analysis

The euro fell a bit short of hitting the target range of 1.0615/42. Consequently, the situation becomes more complicated - will it reach the range once a complex structure of the divergence with the Marlin oscillator is completed, or has the price reversal already taken place yesterday?

Let's look at the weekly chart. Here the price is above the MACD indicator line (1.0433).

Exchange Rates 06.12.2022 analysis

If the current week closes below the MACD line, then it is considered false when it rises above this line, but if it actually closes above the line, then EUR will rise further. The Federal Reserve will hold a meeting next week. The committee has been indicating more signals that the central bank might tighten policy much longer than what the market initially expected. As a consequence, the technical signals may be broken, and the euro may reverse after the price settles above any level.

Exchange Rates 06.12.2022 analysis

On the four-hour chart, the price reversed from the support of the MACD line. The price can "run away" from this line and reach the 1.0615/42 range. The Marlin oscillator shows the intention to move up from the zero line. But if the price does intend to reverse into a medium-term decline, it needs to overcome two supports: 1.0470 and 1.0433.

Laurie Bailey
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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