Permanecer 
Condições de Negociações
Ferramentas
The GBP/USD pair also showed a downward move on Thursday, for which there were even fewer grounds. In the UK, early in the morning, reports on industrial production and November GDP were published. The British economy, contrary to rather low forecasts, grew by 0.3% m/m, and industrial production by 1.1% (also contrary to negative forecasts). Thus, from the very morning, the pound should have appreciated. But we saw no rise in the pair; instead, we saw a decline in positive third-tier US reports that began BEFORE they were published. Thus, we continue to believe that movements in the euro pair are purely technical, and movements in the pound depend solely on the euro. Market volatility remains low, confirming the lack of a strong desire to trade in either direction. A trendline has been formed for a completely illogical (from a macroeconomic and fundamental point of view) downward impulse.
On the 5-minute TF on Thursday, one decent sell signal was formed in the form of a rebound from the 1.3437–1.3446 area. Thus, during the European session, novice traders could open short positions. By the end of the day, the pair fell 40–50 pips, which could easily be collected into January's gains.
On the hourly TF, the GBP/USD pair began forming a new downtrend, supported by only one factor: the euro's decline. There are no global grounds for medium-term dollar strength, so we expect movement only to the north. Overall, we expect the resumption of the 2025 global uptrend, which could take the pair to 1.4000 within the next couple of months.
On Friday, novice traders can remain in short positions targeting the 1.3319–1.3331 area, but volatility is weak now, so the price may not reach that area. A rebound from the 1.3319–1.3331 area will allow opening longs targeting 1.3437–1.3446. A close below the 1.3319–1.3331 area — new shorts targeting 1.3259–1.3267.
On the 5-minute TF, you can trade the levels 1.3043, 1.3096–1.3107, 1.3203–1.3212, 1.3259–1.3267, 1.3319–1.3331, 1.3437–1.3446, 1.3529–1.3543, 1.3574–1.3590, 1.3643–1.3652, 1.3682, 1.3763. No interesting reports are scheduled in the UK for Friday, and the US will release the industrial production report for December. That report is unlikely to provoke a strong market reaction.
Support and resistance price levels — levels that serve as targets when opening buys or sells. Take Profit can be placed near them.
Red lines — channels or trendlines that reflect the current tendency and show which direction is preferable to trade now.
MACD indicator (14,22,3) — histogram and signal line — an auxiliary indicator that can also be used as a source of signals.
Important speeches and reports (always listed in the news calendar) can strongly affect a currency pair's movement. Therefore, during their release, trading should be done with maximum caution, or positions should be closed, to avoid a sharp price reversal against the preceding move.
Beginner forex traders should remember that not every trade can be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and effective money management are the keys to long-term trading success.
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