Permanecer 
Condições de Negociações
Ferramentas
The EUR/USD currency pair showed no notable movements on Wednesday. There was a lack of macroeconomic background during the day; Christine Lagarde's speech did not provide any insights for traders, and there was no encouraging or escalating news from the Middle East. All we learned throughout the day was Iran's rejection of any negotiations with the US, as well as the US's preparations (despite earlier statements from Trump) for a ground operation in Iran. Therefore, at this point, it can be confidently stated that there is no talk of de-escalation in the Middle East in the near term. If Trump initiates a ground operation in Iran, it could further exacerbate the current situation in energy markets. Inflation may rise further globally, and the dollar could rise again as a safe-haven asset. Thus, a ground operation at this time could trigger a new decline in the EUR/USD pair. Technically, the upward trend on the hourly timeframe remains intact.
On the hourly timeframe, the downward trend is completed, but we may be dealing with yet another ordinary upward correction. In early 2026, a long-term upward trend resumed, so we still expect medium-term growth for the euro. The fundamental background remains very challenging for the American currency; however, geopolitics is currently the main focus for the market. It is precisely this that prevents the dollar from falling.
On Thursday, novice traders may consider short positions in the event of a bounce from the 1.1584-1.1591 area, with a target of 1.1527-1.1531. If the price consolidates above the 1.1584-1.1591 area, long positions can be opened with a target of 1.1655-1.1666.
On the 5-minute timeframe, one should consider the levels 1.1267-1.1292, 1.1354-1.1363, 1.1413, 1.1455-1.1474, 1.1527-1.1531, 1.1584-1.1591, 1.1655-1.1666, 1.1745-1.1754, 1.1830-1.1837, 1.1899-1.1908. On Thursday, there are no significant events to note. The consumer confidence index will be published in Germany, while the US will see jobless claims released.
Price levels of support and resistance are levels that serve as targets when opening buys or sells. Take Profit levels can be placed around them.
Red lines represent channels or trend lines that show the current trend and indicate the direction in which it is preferable to trade now.
The MACD indicator (14,22,3) – the histogram and the signal line – is a supporting indicator that can also be used as a source of signals.
Important speeches and reports (always included in the news calendar) can significantly affect the movement of the currency pair. Therefore, during their release, trading should be done with utmost caution, or traders should exit the market to avoid sharp price reversals against the previous movement.
Beginning traders in the forex market should remember that not every trade can be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and effective money management are the keys to long-term trading success.
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