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09.04.201214:49 Forex Analysis & Reviews: USD/CHF Technical Analysis and Trading recommendations for April 9, 2012

Long-term review
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4H

Exchange Rates 09.04.2012 analysis

General picture:
On April 9 the USD/CHF pair continues the ascending movement due to the prolonged correction. Bollinger Bands are restricting though there is a still possibility of ascending movement. The current signal for Buy-deals is confirmed and strong as Chinkou Span is located above the price chart and the price has overcome the Ichimoku Cloud. Thus, the target for the uprising movement is seen at the first resistance level 0.9260. In case this level has been passed through, the new target for bullish trading – the second resistance level 0.9352. The ascending movement remains relevant as long as the price is located above the Kijun-Sen (0.9110). While bullish trading below this line it is recommended to place Stop Loss. If the price goes below this line, the signal for Buy-deals will weaken and the further elaboration of the ascending movement will be questioned. Chinkou Span is located above the price chart confirming the current signal for Sell-deals and indicating the bullish mood on the USD/CHF market. Bollinger Bands defines the current uprising movement, lines are restricting and directed upwards. That is the reason why it is better to consider long positions. MACD has reversed to downside indicating the current correction. Therefore the indicator prevents from opening new buyers orders. In case MACD reverse to upwards, long positions will be relevant again.

Trading recommendations:
On the USD/CHF market it is recommended to consider long positions with first target seen at the 0.9260 level. If the price passes this level through, the level 0.9352 will be considered as target for Buy-deals. Stop Loss is to be placed below 0.9110 levels; in case this line goes upwards, Stop Loss can be placed after it. New long positions are recommended only after the reversal of the MACD to upwards. With 50-60 pips of profit Stop Loss can be placed into the zero area. Take Profits can be placed a bit lower than target levels (10-15 pips approximately).

Apart from the technical picture it is necessary to consider the fundamental data and the time of its release.

 

Explanations to the picture:
Ichimoku Indicator:
Tenkan-Sen – red line
Kijun-Sen – blue line
Senkou Span A – light brown dotted line
Senkou Span B – light blue dotted line
Chinkou Span – green line
Senkou Span B – violet dotted line
Bollinger Bands:
3 yellow lines
MACD Indicator:
Red line and the histogram with white bars in the indicators window.

Paolo Greco
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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