04.05.201513:41 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Gold analysis for May 04, 2015

Overview:

Since our last analysis, gold has been trading downward. The price tested the level of $1,169.74. I am waiting for a clear direction and stong volume. According to the daily time frame, we can observe supply in a volume below the average (weak supply), which is a sign that selling at this stage looks risky. Our Fibonacci retracement 61.8% (support) at $1,174.00 was held successfully. Major resistance is seen around the level of $1,220.00. The short-term trend is neutral. According to the H4 time frame, we can observe supply in a high volume but with very weak price action (hidden buying). I placed Fibonacci expansion to find potential resistance levels and got Fibonacci expansion 61.8% at $1,220.00, Fibonacci expansion 100% at $1,250.00, and Fibonacci expansion 161.8% at $1,300.00. Anyway, if the price breaks the level of $1,175.00 in a high volume, we may see potential testing of the level of $1,148.00 (swing low like support).

Daily Fibonacci pivot points:

Resistance levels:

R1: 1,178.80

R2: 1,179.35

R3: 1,180.90

Support levels:

S1: 1,177.00

S2: 1,176.20

S3: 1,175.00

Trading recommendations: I am neutral about gold. Anyway, selling looks risky around the price of $1,174.00 (Fibonacci retracement 61.8%). Watch for potential buying opportunities if you see a clear sign of strength.