07.09.201608:51 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical analysis of Gold for September 7, 2016

Long-term review

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Since last week, I warned Gold bears that Gold was about to make a strong rally towards at least $1,330-40. Yesterday we saw Gold price break above $1,350, but the most important is the structure of the rise from $1,302 that is impulsive.

Black line -trend line resistance

Gold price has broken above the black trend line resistance and the Ichimoku cloud on the four-hour chart. This is a bullish sign. The form of the rise is impulsive implying more upside is expected after a pullback. There is no sign yet of a pullback but once it comes I believe it should be bought.

Blue lines - bullish channel

The bullish reversal hammer candlestick from last week is given the follow through bulls needed. Price has broken above the weekly tenkan-sen (red line indicator) implying that the recent highs will be tested. Price remains inside the bullish channel. With the bounce coming this high and the decline from $1,375 being clearly corrective, a break below $1,300 will open the way for a move to $1,200 which is the next buy level for a long-term move up. For now we assume the decline is over and the most probable scenario is that any pull back will not break below $1,300.

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