Óäåëüíûé âåñ âàëþòíûõ èíñòðóìåíòîâ EUR/USD, GBP/USD è USD/JPY â ðàñ÷åòå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX ñîñòàâëÿåò 83,1%... Âîò è ïîñìîòðèì, êàê ýòè âàëþòíûå èíñòðóìåíòû ñòàíóò ñåáÿ âåñòè íà ðûíêå ñ 24 èþëÿ 2019 ã.
Minute (òàéì ôðåéì h4)
____________________
US dollar Index
Ñ 24 èþëÿ 2019 ã. ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (97.60 - 97.45 - 97.30) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (âàðèàíòû äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè äàííîãî êàíàëà ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 97.30 (íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette) ñîâìåñòíî ñî ñðåäèííîé ëèíèåé Median Line Minute (97.25) íèñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà áóäåò íàïðàâëåíî ê öåëÿì - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL (97.00) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette - íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL38.2 (96.90) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ LTL Minuette (96.82) - êîíå÷íàÿ Shiff Line Minute (96.67).
 ñëó÷àå æå ïðîáîÿ âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 97.60) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette äâèæåíèå #USDX ïðîäîëæèòñÿ óæå â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (97.55 - 97.75 - 97.95) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ êîíå÷íîé Shiff Line Minuette (98.10).
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ #USDX âíóòðè óïîìÿíóòîãî êàíàëà ïðåäñòàâëåíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå .
![Êóðñ âàëþòû íà 23.07.2019 analysis]()
____________________
Euro vs
US Dollar Îòðàáîòêà è íàïðàâëåíèå ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.1140 - 1.1170 - 1.1200) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette è ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòü äàëüíåéøåå ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû
EUR/USD ñ 24 èþëÿ 2019 ã. (
äåòàëè äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè äàííîé çîíû ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1200) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute íàïðàâèò äâèæåíèå
EUR/USD ê ãðàíèöàì çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.1215 - 1.1255 - 1.1290) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Åñëè
EUR/USD ïðîáèâàåò íèæíþþ ãðàíèöó ISL61.8 (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.1140) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette, òîãäà áóäåò èìåòü ìåñòî áûòü ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ
íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ ê ëîêàëüíîìó minimum 1.1107 è êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.1100) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Äåòàëè âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
____________________
Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar Âàëþòà Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD ïðîäîëæàåò îñòàâàòüñÿ â êàíàëå 1/2 Median Line (
1.2500 - 1.2455 - 1.2415) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute, è ñîîòâåòñòâåííî, äàëüíåéøåå ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
äàííîãî èíñòðóìåíòà áóäåò çàâèñåòü îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ óêàçàííûõ âûøå óðîâíåé (
âàðèàíòû äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè ýòîãî êàíàëà ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé
óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.2570 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute ïîäòâåðäèò, ÷òî äàëåå äâèæåíèå
GBP/USD ñòàíåò ïðîèñòåêàòü óæå â êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.2500 - 1.2540 - 1.2575) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ
êîíå÷íîé Shiff Line Minute (
1.2635).
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.2415) îïðåäåëèò äàëüíåéøåå ðàçâèòèå íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ
âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà ê öåëÿì - ëîêàëüíûé minimum (1.2381) - ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ LWL38.2 Minute (1.2360) - ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ LWL61.8 Minute (1.2285) - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ LTL Minute (1.2265).
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ìîæíî âèäåòü íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå .
____________________
US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen À âîò äàëüíåéøåå ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ "âàëþòû ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà"
USD/JPY ñ 24 èþëÿ 2019 ã. áóäåò
îáóñëîâëåíî íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 108.40 (íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette);
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 108.20 (âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute)
Ïðîáîé
óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 108.20 ïîäòâåðäèò ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
USD/JPY â ãðàíèöàõ êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
108.20 - 107.75 - 107.32) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé
îáíîâëåíèÿ ëîêàëüíîãî minimum 107.32 è äîñòèæåíèÿ
minimum 106.80.
 ñëó÷àå æå ïðîáîÿ ISL38.2 Minuette (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 108.40) ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ "âàëþòû ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" ïðîäîëæèòñÿ
â ãðàíèöàõ çîí ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííûõ ìàñøòàáîâ - Minuette (
108.40 - 108.70 - 109.00) è Minute (
108.85 - 109.50 - 110.15).
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
____________________
Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà.
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.