Äîïîëíåíèå ê ïðåäûäóùåìó îáçîðó íà îñíîâàíèè òåêóùåé ñèòóàöèè íà ðûíêå - âàðèàíòû äâèæåíèÿ òîðãîâûõ èíñòðóìåíòîâ #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD è USD/JPY ñ 19 àâãóñòà 2019 ã.
Minute (òàéì ôðåéì h4)
Ïðåäûäóùèé îáçîð ïî #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD îò 14.08.2019 ã. 19:12 UTC+3
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US dollar Index
Äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX ñ 19 àâãóñòà 2019 ã. ñòàíåò ïðîèñòåêàòü â çàâèñèìîñòè îò íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 98.30 (íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette);
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 98.00 (âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute)
Ïðîáîé
óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 98.00 îïðåäåëèò ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
èíäåêñà äîëëàðà â êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute (
98.00 - 97.65 - 97.35), à ïðè ïðîáîå
íèæíåé ãðàíèöû (
97.35)
äàííîãî êàíàëà íèñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê ãðàíèöàì çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
97.15 - 96.70 - 96.25) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïðîáîé
óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 98.30 ñäåëàåò àêòóàëüíûì ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
#USDX â êàíàëå 1/2 Median Line (
98.30 - 98.55 - 98.75) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette, â ñëó÷àå æå ïðîáîÿ
âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû (
98.75)
ýòîãî êàíàëà âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå áóäåò íàïðàâëåíî ê öåëÿì -
ëîêàëüíûé maximum 98.93 - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL (
99.05) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute - íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL38.2 Minuette (
99.25).
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ïðåäñòàâëåíû íà ãðàôèêå.
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Euro vs
US Dollar Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû
EUR/USD ñ 19 àâãóñòà 2019 ã. áóäåò
îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.1075 - 1.1045 - 1.1015) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (
äåòàëè äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè äàííîé çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ ñìîòðèì íà ãðàôèêå).
Ïðè âîçâðàòå
EUR/USD âûøå óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1075 (âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette) ñòàíåò âîçìîæíûì ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
EUR/USD ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëîâ 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííûõ ìàñøòàáîâ - Minuette (
1.1090 - 1.1120 - 1.1145) è
Minute (
1.1135 - 1.1180 - 1.1220).
Ïðè ñîâìåñòíîì ïðîáîå íèæíåé ãðàíèöû ISL61.8 (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.1015) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette è êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè LTL (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.1005) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute ñòàíåò âîçìîæíî ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ
íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû ê êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL Minuette (
1.0915).
Äåòàëè âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD ïîêàçàíû íà ãðàôèêå.
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Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar C 19 àâãóñòà 2019 ã. äâèæåíèå âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD áóäåò
îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.2185 - 1.2160 - 1.2135) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (
âàðèàíòû äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè óêàçàííîãî çîíû ñìîòðèì íà [/URL]).
Ïðè ïðîáîå
óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.2090 (âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette) âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå
âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê öåëÿì - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL (
1.2235) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute - êîíå÷íàÿ ëèíèÿ FSL Minuette (
1.2274) - ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UWL38.2 Minute (
1.2330).
 ñëó÷àå ïîñëåäîâàòåëüíîãî ïðîáîÿ
óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 1.2120 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette è
êîíå÷íîé Shiff Line Minuette (
1.2120) íèñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå
GBP/USD áóäåò íàïðàâëåíî ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (
1.2060 - 1.2040 - 1.2020) è çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.2040 - 1.1975 - 1.1910) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ìîæíî âèäåòü íà ãðàôèêå.
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US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen Âàëþòà "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" ïðîäîëæàåò îñòàâàòüñÿ â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
106.70 - 106.10 - 105.55) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute (
äâèæåíèå âíóòðè ýòîé çîíû ðàçìå÷åíî íà ãðàôèêå), ñîîòâåòñòâåííî
íàïðàâëåíèå ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö è ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòü ïåðñïåêòèâû ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ñ 19 àâãóñòà 2019 ã.
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû ISL61.8 (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 105.55) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute ïîäòâåðäèò âàðèàíò ïðîäîëæåíèÿ
íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ê íà÷àëüíîé SSL (
105.06) è êîíòðîëüíîé LTL (
104.40) ëèíèÿì âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 106.70) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute îïðåäåëèò ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
USD/JPY â ãðàíèöàõ êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute (
106.50 - 106.95 - 107.35) è çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
106.70 - 107.20 - 107.70) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà. Áîëüøå àíàëèòèêè íà ñàéòå InstaForex
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.