Âàøåìó âíèìàíèþ êîìïëåêñíûé àíàëèç äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòíûõ èíñòðóìåíòîâ #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD è USD/JPY ñ 05 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã.
Minute (òàéì ôðåéì h4)
Ïðåäûäóùèé îáçîð ïî #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD îò 02.09.2019 ã. 15:50 UTC+3
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US dollar Index
Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX ñ 05 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (98.70 - 98.50 - 98.30) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (ðàçìåòêà äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè ýòîé çîíû ïðåäñòàâëåíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
 ñëó÷àå ïðîáîÿ âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 (óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 98.70) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà áóäåò íàïðàâëåíî ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (98.80 - 98.95 - 99.10), à ïðè ïðîáîå âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû (99.20) ýòîãî êàíàëà âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå #USDX ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê öåëÿì - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL (99.20) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minuette (99.37).
Ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 98.30 (íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL61.8 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette) ñîâìåñòíî ñ íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèåé SSL (98.25) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute ñäåëàåò àêòóàëüíûì äîñòèæåíèå ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (98.15 - 97.85 - 97.50) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ïðåäñòàâëåíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
![Êóðñ âàëþòû íà 05.09.2019 analysis]()
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Euro vs
US Dollar Äâèæåíèå åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû
EUR/USD ñ 05 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. òàêæå
ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.1065 - 1.1037 - 1.1010) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (
ïîäðîáíîñòè ýòîãî äâèæåíèÿ íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé
óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1065 (âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL61.8 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette) - ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD ê íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL (
1.1105) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute è ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute (
1.1120 - 1.1160 - 1.1200).
Ïðè ïðîáîå íèæíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.1010) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
íèñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê öåëÿì - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ LTL (
1.0990) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute - êàíàë 1/2 Median Line Minuette (
1.0970 - 1.0955 - 1.0940) -
minimum 1.0925 - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ LTL Minuette (
1.0890).
Äåòàëè âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar Êàê è ó ïðåäûäóùèõ âàëþòíûõ èíñòðóìåíòîâ, ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD c 05 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã.
áóäåò çàâèñåòü îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.2210 - 1.2170 - 1.2120) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (
äåòàëè äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè äàííîé çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé
óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.2210 ñäåëàåò àêòóàëüíûì äîñòèæåíèå
ñðåäèííîé ëèíèè Median Line (
1.2230) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute, à åñëè ñëó÷èòñÿ ïðîáîé îíîé, òîãäà
âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê öåëÿì -
êîíå÷íàÿ Shiff Line Minuette (
1.2285) - âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL61.8 (
1.2300) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute -
ëîêàëüíûé maximum 1.2309 - êîíå÷íàÿ ëèíèÿ FSL Minuette (
1.2370).
Åñëè áóäåò ïðîáèòà íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL38.2 (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.2120) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette, òîãäà
íèñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå GBP/USD ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê öåëÿì - íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (
1.2075) - êàíàë 1/2 Median Line (
1.1985 - 1.1945 - 1.1900) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ìîæíî âèäåòü íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen À âîò ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà"
USD/JPY ñ 05 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã.
áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
106.80 - 106.35 - 105.95) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute (
âàðèàíòû îòðàáîòêè ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðè ïðîáîå
óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 105.95 (íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute) äâèæåíèå
USD/JPY áóäåò íàïðàâëåíî
ê çîíàì ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííûõ ìàñøòàáîâ - Minuette (
105.80 - 105.55 - 105.25) è Minute (
105.65 - 105.05 - 104.50).
Ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 106.80) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute ñäåëàåò âîçìîæíûì äîñòèæåíèå
âàëþòîé "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL Minute (
107.35).
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà. Áîëüøå àíàëèòèêè íà ñàéòå InstaForex
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.