Ðàññìîòðèì êîìïëåêñíî, êàê ñ ïîíåäåëüíèêà, 16 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã., ñòàíåò ïðîèñòåêàòü ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòíûõ èíñòðóìåíòîâ #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD è USD/JPY.
Minute (òàéì ôðåéì h4)
Äîïîëíåíèå ê ïðåäûäóùåìó îáçîðó ïî #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD è USD/JPY îò 12.09.2019 ã. 19:08 UTC+3
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US dollar Index
Èíäåêñ äîëëàðà ïðîäîëæàåò îñòàâàòüñÿ â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (98.30 - 98.10 - 97.90) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette, ñîîòâåòñòâåííî, ñ ïîíåäåëüíèêà, 16 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã., ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ #USDX áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ óêàçàííûõ âûøå óðîâíåé (äåòàëèçàöèþ äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè äàííîé çîíû ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû ISL61.8 (óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 97.90) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette îïðåäåëèò âàðèàíò ïðîäîëæåíèÿ ðàçâèòèÿ íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ê çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (97.75 - 97.40 - 97.00) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
 ñëó÷àå ïðîáîÿ âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 (óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 98.30) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñäåëàåò âîçìîæíûì ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà â ãðàíèöàõ êàíàëîâ 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííûõ ìàñøòàáîâ - Minuette (98.30 - 98.45 - 98.55) è Minute (98.45 - 98.65 - 98.85), ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL Minute (98.95) è êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè UTL Minuette (99.05).
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ïðåäñòàâëåíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
![Êóðñ âàëþòû íà 13.09.2019 analysis]()
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Euro vs
US Dollar Ñ ïîíåäåëüíèêà, 16 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã., ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû
EUR/USD áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî òåì,
â êàêîì íàïðàâëåíèè áóäåò ïðîáèò äèàïàçîí:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1125 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute;
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.1095 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ïðîáîé ISL38.2 Minute (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1125) - ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
EUR/USD ïðîäîëæèòñÿ â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.1125 - 1.1180 - 1.1230) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíîé ëèíèè UWL38.2 (
1.1250) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
À ïðîáîé ISL38.2 Minuette (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.1095) îïðåäåëèò ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû â ãðàíèöàõ çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.1095 - 1.1070 - 1.1035) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette è êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.1035 - 1.1005 - 1.0980) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Äåòàëè âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD è ñ 16 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã.,
ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.2490 (ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UWL38.2 âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette);
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.2420 (êîíå÷íàÿ ëèíèÿ FSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette).
Ïðîáîé ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíîé ëèíèè UWL38.2 (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.2490) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñäåëàåò âîçìîæíûì ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà ê öåëÿì - ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UWL61.8 Minuette (
1.2540) - êîíå÷íàÿ ëèíèÿ FSL (
1.2605) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL Minuette (
1.2650) - ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UWL38.2 Minute (
1.2740).
Ïðîáîé êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.2420) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette íàïðàâèò íèñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå
GBP/USD ê ãðàíèöàì çîí ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííûõ ìàñøòàáîâ - Minute (
1.2340 - 1.2250 - 1.2170) è Minuette (
1.2275 - 1.2225 - 1.2185).
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ìîæíî âèäåòü íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen Âàëþòà "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" ïðîäîëæàåò îñòàâàòüñÿ â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
108.55 - 108.10 - 107.70) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette, ñîîòâåòñòâåííî, ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
USD/JPY ñ 16 ñåíòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. áóäåò
îáóñëîâëåíî íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ óêàçàííûõ âûøå óðîâíåé (
âàðèàíòû îòðàáîòêè ãðàíèö äàííîé çîíû ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå ).
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 107.70) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette - ïðîäîëæåíèå
íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ïðîäîëæèòñÿ ê ãðàíèöàì çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
107.55 - 107.00 - 106.40) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïðè ïðîáîå âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL61.8 (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 108.55) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñäåëàåò àêòóàëüíûì ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" ê
maximum 109.33 è êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL (
109.45) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà.
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.