Íà÷àëàñü íîâàÿ íåäåëÿ - ÷òî îíà íàì ãîòîâèò? - Êîìïëåêñíûé àíàëèç âàðèàíòîâ ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòíûõ èíñòðóìåíòîâ #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD è USD/JPY ñ 08 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã.
Minute (òàéì ôðåéì h4)
Äîïîëíåíèå ê ïðåäûäóùåìó îáçîðó ïî #USDX, EUR/USD, GBP/USD è USD/JPY îò 03.10.2019 ã. 18:14 UTC+3
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US dollar Index
Ñ 08 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX ïðîäîëæèò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (98.95 - 98.75 - 98.55) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (äåòàëè ïîêàçàíû íà ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 (óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 98.95) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette - ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ïðîäîëæèòñÿ ê ãðàíèöàì â êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (99.19 - 99.25 - 99.40), à åñëè ñëó÷èòñÿ ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû (99.30) äàííîãî êàíàëà, òîãäà áóäåò âîçìîæíî ïðîäîëæåíèå âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ ê öåëÿì - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minuette (99.57) - maximum 99.67.
Ïðè ïðîáîå íèæíåé ãðàíèöû ISL61.8 (óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 98.55) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette íèñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê öåëÿì - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL (98.20) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute - ëîêàëüíûé minimum 98.14 - êîíå÷íàÿ Shiff Line Minute (98.05)
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ïðåäñòàâëåíû íà ãðàôèêå.
![Êóðñ âàëþòû íà 08.10.2019 analysis]()
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Euro vs
US Dollar È äâèæåíèå åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû
EUR/USD ñ 08 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. ïðîäîëæèò çàâèñåòü îò
îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.0935 - 1.0955 - 1.0980) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (
ðàçìåòêó äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè êàíàëà ñìîòðèì íà ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.0935) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette îïðåäåëèò âàðèàíò ïðîäîëæåíèÿ ðàçâèòèÿ
íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû ê öåëÿì - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minuette (
1.0915) -
ëîêàëüíûé minimum 1.0879 - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ LTL Minuette (
1.0860)
Ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ
1.0980) ñäåëàåò àêòóàëüíûì ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD ê íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL (
1.1045) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute è ãðàíèöàì çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.1065 - 1.1110 - 1.1155) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Äåòàëè âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD ïîêàçàíû íà ãðàôèêå.
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Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar È âàëþòà Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD ïîêà îñòàåòñÿ
âíóòðè êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.2305 - 1.2435 - 1.2555) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute, ñîîòâåòñòâåííî, äâèæåíèå îíîé áóäåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ ýòèìè óðîâíÿìè
ñ ó÷åòîì îòðàáîòêè ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.2406 - 1.2465 - 1.2520)
âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (
ðàçìåòêà äâèæåíèÿ ïðåäñòàâëåíà íà ãðàôèêå).
Âîçâðàò
GBP/USD íèæå óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè
1.2305 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute - ñäåëàåò âîçìîæíûì ïðîäîëæåíèå
íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ ê öåëÿì - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL (
1.2255) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
ëîêàëüíûé minimum 1.2204 - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minute (
1.2015).
Åñëè ñëó÷èòñÿ ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute (óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ
1.2555), ñ ïîñëåäóþùèì
îáíîâëåíèåì ëîêàëüíîãî maximum 1.2582, òîãäà ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
GBP/USD ñòàíåò ïðîèñòåêàòü â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.2555 - 1.2620 - 1.2695) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ìîæíî âèäåòü íà ãðàôèêå.
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US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà"
USD/JPY ñ 08 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. ïðîäîëæèò
îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
107.40 - 106.90 - 106.65) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette (
ðàçìåòêà äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè äàííîé çîíû ïîêàçàíà íà ãðàôèêå).
Åñëè ïðîèçîéäåò ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 (óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ
107.15) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette, òîãäà ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" ïðîäîëæèòñÿ ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (
107.55 - 107.72 - 107.90) ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ
êîíòðîëüíûõ ëèíèé - UTL Minute (
108.18) è UTL Minuette (
108.50).
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû ISL61.8 (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 106.65) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette íàïðàâèò äâèæåíèå
USD/JPY ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
106.50 - 105.95 - 105.40) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ñìîòðèì íà ãðàôèêå.
____________________Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí
áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà.
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.