Minute (h4)
Êîìïëåêñíûé àíàëèç âàðèàíòîâ ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ AUD/USD vs USD/CAD vs NZD/USD vs #USDX ñ 18 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. â îïåðàöèîííîì ìàñøòàáå Minute (òàéìôðåéì h4).
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US Dollar Index
Äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX ñ 18 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (98.15 - 97.75 - 97.35) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute (äåòàëè ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå).
Åñëè áóäåò ïðîáèòà íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL61.8 (óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 98.05) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute, ñ ïîñëåäóþùèì îáíîâëåíèåì ëîêàëüíîãî minimum 97.21, òîãäà íèñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà áóäåò íàïðàâëåíî ê êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL Minute (96.10).
 ñëó÷àå æå ïðîáîÿ âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 (óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 98.15) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute ñòàíåò âîçìîæíûì ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ê çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (98.50 - 98.85 - 99.15) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ðàçìåòêà âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ñ 18 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. ïîêàçàíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
![Êóðñ âàëþòû íà 17.10.2019 analysis]()
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Australian Dollar vs
US Dollar C 18 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã.
ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ àâñòðàëèéñêîãî äîëëàðà
AUD/USD áóäåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ
â çàâèñèìîñòè îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 0.6840 (ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UWL61.8 âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette);
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 0.6815 (ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UWL38.2 âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette).
Ïðîáîé
óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 0.6840 (UWL61.8 Minuette) - ïðîäîëæåíèå
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ àâñòðàëèéñêîãî äîëëàðà ê öåëÿì - ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UWL100.0 (
0.6875) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
ëîêàëüíûé maximum 0.6896 - çîíà ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
0.6925 - 0.6975 - 0.7025) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïðîáîé
óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 0.6815 (UWL38.2 Minuette) - âàðèàíò ðàçâèòèÿ
íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ AUD/USD öåëÿìè êîòîðîãî áóäóò - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL Minuette (
0.6795) - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minuette (
0.6775) - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL (
0.6760) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
0.6730 - 0.6710 - 0.6690) è çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
0.6690 - 0.6665 - 0.6640) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ðàçìåòêó âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ AUD/USD c 18 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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New Zealand Dollar vs
US Dollar Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ íîâîçåëàíäñêîãî äîëëàðà
NZD/USD ñ 18 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. ïðîäîëæèòñÿ
èñõîäÿ èç îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 0.6351 (ëîêàëüíûé maximum);
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 0.6340 (âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL61.8 âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette).
Îáíîâëåíèå ëîêàëüíîãî maximum è çàêðåïëåíèå
íîâîçåëàíäñêîãî äîëëàðà âûøå óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ
0.6531 ñäåëàþò âîçìîæíûì ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ äàííîãî
âàëþòíîãî èíñòðóìåíòà ê öåëÿì -
êîíå÷íàÿ Shiff Line Minuette (
0.6365) - çîíà ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
0.6390 - 0.6445 - 0.6500) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïðè âîçâðàòå
íèæå ISL61.8 Minuette (
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 0.6340) ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
NZD/USD ïðîäîëæèòñÿ â ãðàíèöàõ çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
0.6340 - 0.6325 - 0.6305) è êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
0.6320 - 0.6305 - 0.6290) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ íà÷àëüíîé SSL (
0.6255) è êîíòðîëüíîé UTL (
0.6245) ëèíèé âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette è
îáíîâëåíèÿ ëîêàëüíîãî minimum 0.6238.
.
Ðàçìåòêó âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ NZD/USD c 18 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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US Dollar vs
Canadian Dollar Òàê æå è ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ êàíàäñêîãî äîëëàðà
USD/CAD c 18 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. áóäåò
îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.3155 (êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ LTL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette);
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.3140 (ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ LWL61.8 âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette).
Ïðîáîé
óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 1.3140 íà ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíîé ëèíèè LWL61.8 âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñäåëàåò âîçìîæíûì ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ
íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ USD/CAD ê ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíîé ëèíèè LWL100.0 Minuette (
1.3100) è ãðàíèöàì çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.3085 - 1.3035 - 1.2985) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Âîçâðàò
êàíàäñêîãî äîëëàðà âûøå êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè LTL Minuette (
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.3155) - âàðèàíò ðàçâèòèÿ
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.3180 - 1.3210 - 1.3240) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ
êîíå÷íîé Shiff Line (
1.3300) è ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.3325 - 1.3355 - 1.3385) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ðàçìåòêó âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ USD/CAD c 18 îêòÿáðÿ 2019 ã. ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì ãðàôèêå.
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy")
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà: USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %; Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà.
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.