Âëàñòü ïîìåíÿëàñü? Ìåòàëëû âíèç - äîëëàð ââåðõ? Âàðèàíòû ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ #USDX vs Gold & Silver â êîìïëåêñíîì âèäå ñ 13 ìàðòà 2020 ã.
Äîïîëíåíèå ê îáçîðó îò 16:56 2020-03-05 UTC+1
Îïåðàöèîííûé ìàñøòàá Minute (h4)
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US Dollar Index
Äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX ñ 13 ìàðòà 2020 ã. îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèå ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 96.85 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà MInuette;
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 96.50 íà êîíå÷íîé Shiff Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïðîáîé ISL38.2 Minuette -
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 96.85 - ñ ïîñëåäóþùèì ïðîáîåì ISL61.8 Minute (
97.00) îïðåäåëÿò
ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà â ãðàíèöàõ çîí ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííûõ ìàñøòàáîâ - Minuette (
96.85 - 97.50 - 98.15) è Minute (
97.00 - 97.50 - 98.00), à òàê æå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute (
97.80 - 98.20 - 98.60).
Ïðîáîé
êîíå÷íîé Shiff Line Minute -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 96.50 ñäåëàåò âîçìîæíûì ðàçâèòèå
íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ê êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL (
95.40) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute è íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL (
94.75) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ðàçìåòêà âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ñ13 ìàðòà 2020 ã. ïîêàçàíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå - îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå.
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Spot
Gold Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ Spot
Gold c 13 ìàðòà 2020 ã.
ïðîäîëæèò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1639.88 - 1620.00 - 1600.20) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute -
äåòàëè ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1600.00 îïðåäåëèò
ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ Spot
Gold â ãðàíèöàõ çîí ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííûõ ìàñøòàáîâ - Minuette (
1603.00 - 1578.00 - 1555.00) è Minute (
1600.00 - 1573.00 - 1546.00).
 ñëó÷àå æå ïðîáîÿ âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute -
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1639.88 - âàðèàíò ðàçâèòèÿ
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ Spot
Gold ê íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL (
1666.00) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette è íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL Minute (
1690.00).
Äåòàëè âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ Spot Gold c 13 ìàðòà 2020 ã. ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå - îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå.
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Spot
Silver Îòðàáîòêà è íàïðàâëåíèå ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
16.550 - 16.210 - 15.850) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute è ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòü ñ 13 ìàðòà 2020 ã. ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ Spot
Silver -
äåòàëè îòðàáîòêè óêàçàííûõ óðîâíåé ñìîòðèì íà *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
Ïðîáîé
óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 15.850 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå ISL61.8 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute - ïðîäîëæåíèå íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ Spot
Silver ê êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL Minute (
14.750).
Ïðè ïðîáîå
óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 16.550 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute äâèæåíèå Spot
Silver áóäåò íàïðàâëåíî ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute (
16.820 - 17.120 - 17.400) è çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
17.250 - 17.470 - 17.720) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ Spot Silver c 13 ìàðòà 2020 ã. ìîæíî âèäåòü íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå) .
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà.
ZUP è Âèëû Ýíäðþñà (òåðìèíû, ïîíÿòèÿ, ïàðàìåòðû).
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.