Îïåðàöèîííûé ìàñøòàá Minute - h4.
Äîïîëíåíèå ê îáçîðó îò 19:22 2020-03-17 UTC+3
 îæèäàíèè ðàçâîðîòà? Âàðèàíòû ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ îñíîâíûõ âàëþòíûõ èíñòðóìåíòîâ #USDX vs EUR/USD vs GBP/USD vs USD/JPY ñ 24 ìàðòà 2020 ã. â êîìïëåêñíîì âèäå.
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US Dollar Index
Äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX ñ 24 ìàðòà 2020 ã. ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ äîñòàòî÷íî øèðîêîãî äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 102.30 - ãðàíèöà êðàñíîé çîíû âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 100.90 - ñèãíàëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ ISL23.6 âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
Ïðîáîé ñèãíàëüíîé ëèíèè ISL23.6 Minute -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 100.90 - äâèæåíèå
#USDX ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
100.55 - 99.80 - 99.00) è çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
99.50 - 98.40 - 97.30) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Åñëè æå
èíäåêñ äîëëàðà âåðíåòñÿ (
ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 102.30)
â êðàñíóþ çîíó âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute - òîãäà ðàçâèòèå
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê öåëÿì:
-
maximum 102.99;
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL (
103.30) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute;
-
ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíûå - UWL38.2 (
104.55) è UWL61.8 (
105.60) -
ëèíèè âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Äåòàëè ðàçìåòêè äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà ñ 24 ìàðòà 2020 ã. ïðåäñòàâëåíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå - îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå.
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Euro vs
US Dollar Äâèæåíèÿ åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû
EUR/USD ñ 24 ìàðòà 2020 ã. òàêæå
áóäåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.0800 - ãðàíèöà êðàñíîé çîíû âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.0725 íà êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
Ïðîáîé
óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.0800 íà ãðàíèöå êðàñíîé çîíû âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette îïðåäåëèò âàðèàíò ðàçâèòèÿ
âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû ê êîíå÷íîé Shiff Line Minute (
1.0900), ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (
1.0930 - 1.1030 - 1.1120) è çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.1000 - 1.1090 - 1.1190) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïðè ïðîáîå êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàá Minute -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.0725 - äâèæåíèå
EUR/USD ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê íà÷àëüíîé SSL (
1.0655) è êîíòðîëüíîé LTL
(1.0630) ëèíèÿì âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ
ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíûõ ëèíèé - LWL38.2 (
1.0580) è LWL61.8 (
1.0485) - âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Äåòàëè âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD [ ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå - îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå.
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Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar Âàëþòà Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD c 24 àðòà 2020 ã. òîæå
ïðîäîëæèò ðàçâèòèå ñâîåãî äâèæåíèÿ â çàâèñèìîñòè îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1635 - íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.1400 - êîíå÷íàÿ ëèíèÿ FSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1635 ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ
âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà ïðîäîëæèòñÿ â êàíàëå 1/2 Median Line Minuette (1.1635 - 1.1735 - 1.1855)
è â ãðàíèöàõ çîí ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííûõ ìàñøòàáîâ - Minuette (
1.1855 - 1.2025 - 1.2190) è Minute (
1.2100 - 1.2320 - 1.2530).
Ïðîáîé êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.1400 - âàðèàíò ïðîäîëæåíèÿ ðàçâèòèÿ
íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ê íà÷àëüíîé SSL (
1.1330) è êîíå÷íîé LTL (
1.1240) ëèíèÿì âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette c ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ
ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíûõ ëèíèé - LWL38.2 (
1.1040) è LWL61.8 (
1.0820) - âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ìîæíî âèäåòü íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå - îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå .
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US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen À âîò ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà"
USD/JPY ñ 2 ìàðòà 2020 ã.
áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
110.90 - 110.45 - 110.00) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
äåòàëè ýòîãî äâèæåíèÿ ñìîòðèì íà ãðàôèêå.
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 110.00 - âàðèàíò ïðîäîëæåíèÿ ðàçâèòèÿ
íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ê ãðàíèöàì çîí ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííûõ ìàñøòàáîâ - Minuette (
108.90 - 108.10 - 107.50) è Minute (
108.30 - 106.95 - 105.65).
Ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette -
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 110.00 - ñäåëàåò âîçìîæíûì
ïðîäîëæåíèå âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" ê öåëÿì:
- íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minuette (
111.40);
-
êîíå÷íàÿ Shiff Line Minute (
111.70);
-
maximum 112.20;
- êîíå÷íàÿ ëèíèÿ FSL Minute (
112.60);
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL Minute (
113.60).
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ñìîòðèì íà ãðàôèêå - îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå .
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà.
ZUP è Âèëû Ýíäðþñà (òåðìèíû, ïîíÿòèÿ, ïàðàìåòðû).
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.