Îïåðàöèîííûé ìàñøòàá Minute - h4.
Äîïîëíåíèå ê îáçîðó îò 20:04 2020-04-10 UTC+3
"Êðûëàòûå êà÷åëè" ïðîäîëæàþòñÿ? - Âàðèàíòû ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ îñíîâíûõ âàëþòíûõ èíñòðóìåíòîâ #USDX vs EUR/USD vs GBP/USD vs USD/JPY â êîìïëåêñíîì âèäå.
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US Dollar Index
Ñ 16 àïðåëÿ 2020 ã. ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (99.75 - 100.00 - 100.30) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette - äåòàëè ðàçìåòêè ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
Ïðè ïðîáîå íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette - óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 99.75 - âàðèàíò âîçîáíîâëåíèÿ íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà ê öåëÿì:
- íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL (99.05) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette;
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ LTL Minuette (98.82);
- êîíå÷íàÿ Shiff Line Minute (98.65);
- âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL38.2 (98.30) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute - óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 100.30 - ïîäòâåðäèò äàëüíåéøåå ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ #USDX â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (100.15 - 100.55 - 101.00) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ íèæíåé ãðàíèöû (101.35) êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Äåòàëè ðàçìåòêè äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà ñ 16 àïðåëÿ 2020 ã. ïðåäñòàâëåíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
![Êóðñ âàëþòû íà 15.04.2020 analysis]()
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Euro vs
US Dollar Åäèíàÿ åâðîïåéñêàÿ âàëþòà
EUR/USD ñ 16 àïðåëÿ 2020 ã.
ïðîäîëæèò ðàçâèòèå ñâîåãî äâèæåíèÿ â çàâèñèìîñòè îò íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.0920 íà 1/2 Median Line Minute
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.0865 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette
Ïðîáîé 1/2 Median Line Minute -
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.0920 - íàïðàâèò
äâèæåíèå åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû ê óðîâíÿì ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ:
-
1.0945 - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minute;
-
1.0975 - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL Minuette;
-
1.0990 -
ëîêàëüíûé maximum;
-
1.1010 - âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute;
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ
maximum 1.1147.
Ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 1.0865 ñäåëàåò àêòóàëüíûì
ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD â ãðàíèöàõ êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.0865 - 1.0825 - 1.0785) è çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.0805 - 1.0750 - 1.0695) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ
êîíå÷íîé Shiff Line Minuette (
1.0670) è
minimum 1.0636.
Äåòàëè âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD [ ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar Âàëþòà Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD c 16 àïðåëÿ 2020 ã.
ïðîäîëæèò äâèæåíèå â çàâèñèìîñòè îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.2425 - 1.2464 - 1.2510) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
ðàçìåòêà äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè äàííîãî êàíàëà ïðåäñòàâëåíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîì ãðàôèêå).
Ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.2510 -
ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà ê öåëÿì:
- íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minuette (
1.2646);
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL Minuette (
1.2670);
-
ñðåäèííàÿ ëèíèÿ Median Line Minute (
1.2715);
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL61.8 (
1.3000) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
 ñëó÷àå æå ïðîáîÿ íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.2425 áóäåò ïîäòâåðæäåíî, ÷òî äàëåå
ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ñòàíåò ïðîèñòåêàòü â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.2425 - 1.2370 - 1.2305) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ 1/2 Median Line Minute (
1.2250) è
ëîêàëüíîãî minimum 1.2165.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ìîæíî âèäåòü íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå) .
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US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen Íàïðàâëåíèå ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 107.90 íà íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 107.50 íà ãðàíèöå êðàñíîé çîíû âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
è ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòü
äàëüíåéøåå ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà"
USD/JPY ñ 16 àïðåëÿ 2020 ã.
Âîçâðàò âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" â êðàñíóþ çîíó âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè
107.50 -
âîçîáíîâëåíèå íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ äàííîãî èíñòðóìåíòà ê öåëÿì:
- âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute (
107.20);
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ LTL Minuette (
106.91);
- íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minuette (
106.25);
- 1/2 Median Line Minute (
106.00).
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 107.90 - âàðèàíò ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ
USD/JPY â êàíàëå 1/2 Median Line Minuette (
107.90 - 108.20 - 108.50) ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé (
ïîñëå ïðîáîÿ âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ýòîãî êàíàëà -
108.50) äîñòèæåíèÿ ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
108.70 -109.20 - 109.70) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minette.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå) .
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà. Áîëüøå àíàëèòèêè íà ñàéòå InstaForex.
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