Îïåðàöèîííûé ìàñøòàá Minute (òàéì ôðåéì h4)
Âòîðàÿ äåêàäà ìàÿ - "ñûðüåâûå" âàëþòû #USDX vs AUD/USD & USD/CAD & NZD/USD - âàðèàíòû ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ äâèæåíèÿ ñ 12 ìàÿ 2020 ã.
Ïðåäûäóùèé îáçîð äâèæåíèÿ äàííûõ èíñòðóìåíòîâ â òàéìôðåéìå Daily îò 17:28 04.05.2020 UTC+3
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US Dollar Index
Ñ 12 ìàÿ 2020 ãîäà äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 100.30 íà êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè UTL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 100.00 íà íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
Ïðè ïðîáîå íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 100.00 -
ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà áóäåò
íàïðàâëåíî ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
99.50 - 99.30 - 99.00) è çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
99.00 - 98.65 - 98.30) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
 ñâîþ î÷åðåäü,
ïðîáîé êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè UTL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 100.30 -
ñ ïîñëåäóþùèì îáíîâëåíèåì ëîêàëüíîãî maximum 100.40 îïðåäåëèò
ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ê öåëÿì:
- íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minute (
100.60);
-
ëîêàëüíûé maximum 100.87;
-
êîíå÷íàÿ Shiff Line Minute (
101.40);
- ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UWL38.2 Minute (
102.20).
Ðàçìåòêà âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ñ 12 ìàÿ 2020 ã. ïîêàçàíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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Australian Dollar vs
US Dollar C 12 ìàÿ 2020 ã.
ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ àâñòðàëèéñêîãî äîëëàðà
AUD/USD [I]
áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 0.6535 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 0.6455 íà êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè LTL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
Ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 0.6535 îïðåäåëèò
ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ àâñòðàëèéñêîãî äîëëàðà â êàíàëå 1/2 Median Line Minuette (
0.6535 - 0.6570 - 0.6995), ïðè ïðîáîå
âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû (
0.6995)
êîòîðîãî âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå äàííîãî
âàëþòíîãî èíñòðóìåíòà ìîæåò áûòü
ïðîäîëæåíî ê çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
0.6640 - 0.6670 - 0.6700) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL Minuette (
0.6800).
 ñëó÷àå ïðîáîÿ êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè LTL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 0.6455 - ñòàíåò àêòóàëüíî
ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ AUD/USD ê ëîêàëüíûì minimum`s (
0.6374 - 0.6255) è âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå ISL61.8 (
0.6130) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ðàçìåòêó âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ AUD/USD c 12 ìàÿ 2020 ã. ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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US Dollar vs
Canadian Dollar Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ êàíàäñêîãî äîëëàðà
USD/CAD ñ 12 ìàÿ 2020 ã.
áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.4015 - 1.3975 - 1.3925) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
äåòàëè äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè ýòîãî êàíàëà ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 1.3925 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette îïðåäåëèò äàëüíåéøåå
ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ êàíàäñêîãî äîëëàðà â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.3925 - 1.3865 - 1.3810) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ
öåíîé èíñòðóìåíòà êîíå÷íîé Shiff Line Minuette (
1.3785) è ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíîé ëèíèè LWL38.2 (
1.3725) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.4015 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette ñäåëàåò âîçìîæíûì
ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ USD/CAD ê öåëÿì:
- íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL (
1.4090) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette;
-
ëîêàëüíûå maximum`s (
1.4172 - 1.4264).
Âàðèàíòû ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ USD/CAD c 12 ìàÿ 2020 ã. ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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New Zealand Dollar vs
US Dollar Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ íîâîçåëàíäñêîãî äîëëàðà
NZD/USD c 12 ìàÿ 2020 ã. òàêæå
ñòàíåò çàâèñåòü îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 0.6100 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 0.6050 íà íà íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 0.6100 ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ íîâîçåëàíäñêîãî äîëëàðà ïðîäîëæèòñÿ â êàíàëå 1/2 Median Line Minuette (
0.6100 - 0.6125 - 0.6150) ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
0.6165 - 0.6200 - 0.6240) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Miniuette.
Ïðîáîé íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 0.6050 -
âàðèàíò ïðîäîëæåíèÿ íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ NZD/USD ê öåëÿì:
- âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL61.8 (
0.6029) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute;
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ LTL Minuette (
0.6015);
-
ëîêàëüíûé minimum 0.5992;
-
ñðåäèííàÿ ëèíèÿ Median Line Minute (
0.5900);
-
êîíå÷íàÿ Shiff Line Minute (
0.5880).
Ðàçìåòêó âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ NZD/USD c 12 ìàÿ 2020 ã. ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà. Áîëüøå àíàëèòèêè íà ñàéòå InstaForex.
ZUP è Âèëû Ýíäðþñà (òåðìèíû, ïîíÿòèÿ, ïàðàìåòðû).
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.