Îïåðàöèîííûé ìàñøòàá Minor (òàéì ôðåéì Daily)
Ïîñëåäíÿÿ íåäåëÿ âåñíû è íà÷àëî äåòà - êàê ñåáÿ ñòàíóò âåñòè èíäåêñ äîëëàðà #USDX è "ñûðüåâûå" âàëþòû AUD/USD & USD/CAD & NZD/USD - âàðèàíòû ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ äâèæåíèÿ ñ 26 ìàÿ 2020 ã.
Ïðåäûäóùèé îáçîð îò 17:28 2020-05-04 UTC+3
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US Dollar Index
Ñ 26 ìàÿ 2020 ãîäà äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 100.10 íà êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè LTL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 99.45 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor
Ïðè ïðîáîå êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè LTL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute -
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 100.10 -
ñ ïîñëåäóþùèì ïðîáîåì 1/2 Median Line Minor (
110.20) îïðåäåëÿò
ïðîäîëæåíèÿ ðàçâèòèÿ âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà ê öåëÿì:
âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minor (
101.20);
íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL (
102.60) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor.
Ïðè ïîñëåäîâàòåëüíîì ïðîáîå ISL38.2 Minor
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 99.45 - è íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minor
99.25 - áóäåò ïîäòâåðæäåíî, ÷òî äàëåå
äâèæåíèå #USDX ñòàíåò ïðîèñòåêàòü â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
99.45 - 98.45 - 97.45) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ
êîíå÷íîé Shiff Line Minor (96.30).
Ðàçìåòêà âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ñ 26 ìàÿ 2020 ã. ïîêàçàíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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Australian Dollar vs
US Dollar Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ àâñòðàëèéñêîãî äîëëàðà
AUD/USD ñ 26 ìàÿ 2020 ã.
ñòàíåò çàâèñåòü îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 0.6575 íà íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 0.6470 íà ëèíèè ðåàêöèè RL38.2 âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor
Ïðîáîé ëèíèè ðåàêöèè RL38.2 âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 0.6470 - íàïðàâèò
äâèæåíèå àâñòðàëèéñêîãî äîëëàðà ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
0.6430 - 0.6305 - 0.6185) è çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
0.6140 - 0.5990 - 0.5820) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor.
 ñëó÷àå ñîâìåñòíîãî ïðîáîÿ óðîâíåé ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ:
-
0.6575 - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute;
-
0.6617 - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL Minute;
-
0.6666 - íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor;
âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå AUD/USD ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî
ê öåëÿì:
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL (
0.6800) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor;
- ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UWL38.2 Minor (
0.6910);
-
maximum 0.7034.
Ðàçìåòêó âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ AUD/USD â ìàå 2020 ã. ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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US Dollar vs
Canadian Dollar Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ êàíàäñêîãî äîëëàðà
USD/CAD c 26 ìàÿ 2020 ã.
òàêæå ñòàíåò çàâèñåòü îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.4030 íà êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè LTL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.3930 íà ñðåäèííîé ëèíèè Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor
Ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 1.3930 íà Median Line Minor
ñ ïîñëåäóþùèì îáíîâëåíèåì ëîêàëüíîãî minimum 1.3849 íàïðàâèò
ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ USD/CAD ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.3780 - 1.3660 - 1.3530) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor.
Ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.4030 íà [I]êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè LTL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute îïðåäåëèò ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèå
êàíàäñêîãî äîëëàðà ê öåëÿì:
- âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL61.8 (
1.4100) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor;
-
êîíå÷íàÿ Shiff Line Minor (
1.4220);
- êàíàë 1/2 Median Line (
1.4515 - 1.4667 - 1.4820) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ðàçìåòêó âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ USD/CAD c 26 ìàÿ 2020 ã. ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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New Zealand Dollar vs
US Dollar Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ íîâîçåëàíäñêîãî äîëëàðà
NZD/USD ñ 26 ìàÿ 2020 ã., êàê è ó äðóãèõ èíñòðóìåíòîâ,
ñòàíåò çàâèñåòü îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 0.6140 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 0.6070 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor
Ïðîáîé ISL38.2 Minor -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 0.6070 -
ñîâìåñòíî ñ ïðîáîåì êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè UTL (
0.6050) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute îïðåäåëÿò
ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ íîâîçåëàíäñêîãî äîëëàðà â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
0.6070 - 0.5930 - 0.5800) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
0.5690 - 0.5570 - 0.5450) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 0.6140 ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ NZD/USD ïðîäîëæèòñÿ â êàíàëå 1/2 Median Line (
0.6140 - 0.6230 - 0.6320) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL Minor (
0.6480).
Ðàçìåòêó âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ NZD/USD â ìàå 2020 ã. ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà. Áîëüøå àíàëèòèêè íà ñàéòå InstaForex.
ZUP è Âèëû Ýíäðþñà (òåðìèíû, ïîíÿòèÿ, ïàðàìåòðû).
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.