Îïåðàöèîííûé ìàñøòàá Minute (òàéì ôðåéì h4)
Ïðåäûäóùèé îáçîð ïî äàííûì âàëþòíûì èíñòðóìåíòàì â òàéìôðåéìå h4 îò 18:41 2020.05.15 UTC+3
Çàêàí÷èâàåòñÿ ïîñëåäíèé ìåñÿö âåñíû - ÷òî äàëåå? - Âàðèàíòû ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ #USDX vs EUR/GBP & GBP/JPY & EUR/JPY - h4 ñ 28 ìàÿ 2020 ã.
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US Dollar Index
Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX ñ 28 ìàÿ 2020 ã. ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (98.95 - 98.75 - 98.55) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette - äåòàëè äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè äàííîé çîíû ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
Ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 98.95 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette íàïðàâèò äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà ê ãðàíèöàì êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette (99.00 - 99.14 - 99.30), à åñëè áóäåò èìåòü ìåñòî áûòü ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû (99.30) äàííîãî êàíàëà òîãäà âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå #USDX ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê öåëÿì:
- íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minuette (99.45);
- íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL (99.60) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute;
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL Minuette (99.75);
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL Minute (99.90).
Ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 98.55 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå ISL61.8 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette îïðåäåëèò äàëüíåéøåå ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà âíóòðè çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (98.55 - 98.15 - 97.80) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Äåòàëè ðàçìåòêè äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà ñ 28 ìàÿ 2020 ã.ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
![Êóðñ âàëþòû íà 27.05.2020 analysis]()
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Euro vs
US Dollar Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû
EUR/USD c 28 ìàÿ 2020 ã.
áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1025 - ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ LWL38.2 âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.1005 - êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
 ñëó÷àå âîçâðàòà EUR/USD íèæå êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè UTL âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.1005 ñòàíåò àêòóàëüíûì
ðàçâèòèå íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû ê öåëÿì:
- íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minuette (
1.0940);
- êàíàë 1/2 Median Line Minuette (
1.0910 - 1.0880 - 1.0850);
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.0805 - 1.0775 - 1.0745) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute è çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.0790 - 1.0745 - 1.0695) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Åñëè æå ñîñòîèòñÿ ïðîáîé ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíîé ëèíèè UWL38.2 âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1025 - òîãäà
âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòû ìîæåò áûòü
ïðîäîëæåíî ê çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.1065 - 1.1105 - 1.1145) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute, ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé,
ïîñëå ïðîáîÿ ISL61.8 Minute (
1.1145), äîñòèæåíèÿ ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíîé ëèíèè UWL161.8 Minuette (
1.1280).
Äåòàëè âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD c 28 ìàÿ 2020 ã. ïðåäñòàâëåíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar Äàëüíåéøåå
ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD c 28 ìàÿ 2020 ã.
ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.2290 - 1.2235 - 1.2170) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
äåòàëèçàöèÿ äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè êàíàëà 1/2ML Minuette ïîêàçàíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
Ïîñëåäîâàòåëüíûé ïðîáîé óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 1.2170 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette è íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL Minuette (
1.2145) ñäåëàåò âîçìîæíûì
ïðîäîëæåíèå ðàçâèòèÿ íèñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD ê
ëîêàëüíîìó minimum 1.2073 è ïðåäóïðåäèòåëüíîé ëèíèè LTL Minuette (
1.1995) ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.1715) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïðîáîé âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minuette -
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.2290 -
âàðèàíò ïðîäîëæåíèÿ ðàçâèòèÿ âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà ê öåëÿì:
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL (
1.2360) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute;
- çîíà ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.2400 - 1.2480 - 1.2560) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette;
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé
îáíîâëåíèÿ maximum 1.2640.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD c 28 ìàÿ 2020 ã. ìîæíî âèäåòü íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå) .
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US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen Äâèæåíèå âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà"
USD/JPY ñ 28 ìàÿ 2020 ã. òàêæå
ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
108.00 - 107.87 - 107.75) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè ýòîãî êàíàëà ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 108.00 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette
ñ ïîñëåäóþùèì îáíîâëåíèåì ëîêàëüíîãî maximum 108.10 âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê êîíòðîëüíîé ëèíèè UTL Minuette (
108.45) è çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
108.60 - 109.20 - 109.80) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
À åñëè ñëó÷èòñÿ ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 107.75 - òîãäà
íèñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå USD/JPY ìîæåò áûòü
ïðîäîëæåíî ê öåëÿì:
- íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minuette (
107.55);
-
êîíå÷íàÿ Shiff Line Minuette (
107.35);
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
107.00 - 106.70 - 106.40) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute è çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
106.85 - 106.60 - 106.50) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minuette.
Ïîäðîáíîñòè äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY c 28 ìàÿ 2020 ã. ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå) .
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà. Áîëüøå àíàëèòèêè íà ñàéòå InstaForex.
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