Îïåðàöèîííûé ìàñøòàá Minor (òàéì ôðåéì Daily)
Òðåòüÿ äåêàäà ïåðâîãî ìåñÿöà ëåòà. Êîððåêòèðóåìñÿ? Âàðèàíòû ðàçâèòèÿ äâèæåíèÿ #USDX vs EUR/USD & GBP/USD & USD/JPY - Daily ñ 18 èþíÿ 2020 ã.
 äîïîëíåíèå ê îáçîðó îò 18:51 2020-06-05 UTC+3
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US Dollar Index
Ñ 18 èþíÿ 2020 ãîäà äâèæåíèå èíäåêñà äîëëàðà #USDX áóäåò ïðîäîëæåíî â çàâèñèìîñòè îò íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 97.20 íà íèæíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 96.90 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Munute
Ïðîáîé ISL38.2 Minute -
óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 97.20 -
ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ èíäåêñà äîëëàðà ñòàíåò ïðîèñòåêàòü â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
97.20 - 97.70 - 98.20) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL (
98.70) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor è êîíå÷íîé ëèíèè FSL Minute (
99.80).
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 96.90 ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ #USDX ïðîäîëæèòñÿ â êàíàëå 1/2 Median Line (
96.90 - 96.40 - 96.00) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
ñ âîçìîæíîñòüþ îáíîâëåíèÿ ëîêàëüíîãî minimum 95.72 è äîñòèæåíèÿ íà÷àëüíîé ëèíèè SSL Minute (
95.50), à òàê æå âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 (95.30) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor.
Ðàçìåòêà âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ #USDX c 18 èþíÿ 2020 ã. ïîêàçàíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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Euro vs
US Dollar Åäèíàÿ åâðîïåéñêàÿ âàëþòà
EUR/USD ñ 18 èþíÿ 2020 ãîäà
ïðîäîëæèò ðàçâèòèå ñâîåãî äâèæåíèå â çàâèñèìîñòè òàê æå â çàâèñèìîñòè îò îòðàáîòêè è íàïðàâëåíèÿ ïðîáîÿ äèàïàçîíà:
- óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 1.1250 - âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
- óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.1190 - 1/2 Median Line Minute
Ïðè ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ïîääåðæêè 1.1290 íà 1/2 Median Line Minute
ñ ïîñëåäóþùèì ïðîáîåì ñðåäèííîé ëèíèè Median Line (
1.1170) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor è íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute (
1.1140)
ñòàíåò âîçìîæíûì äîñòèæåíèå åäèíîé åâðîïåéñêîé âàëþòîé ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.1115 - 1.1020 - 1.0930) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute.
Ïðè ñîâìåñòíîì ïðîáîå óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ
1.1250 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute è âåðõíåé ãðàíèöû ISL61.8 (
1.1280) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor
ìîæåò áûòü âîçîáíîâëåíî âîñõîäÿùåå äâèæåíèå EUR/USD è êîòîðîå
áóäåò íàïðàâëåíî ê öåëÿì:
-
êîíå÷íàÿ Shiff Line (
1.1350) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor;
- íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL (
1.1405) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute;
-
ëîêàëüíûé maximum 1.1422;
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL Minute (
1.1470);
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé
îáíîâëåíèÿ maximum 1.1495.
Âàðèàíòû äâèæåíèÿ EUR/USD c 18 èþíÿ 2020 ã. ïîêàçàíû íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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Great Britain Pound vs
US Dollar Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà
GBP/USD/USD ñ 18 èþíÿ 2020 ãîäà
áóäåò îáóñëîâëåíî îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
1.2575 - 1.2510 - 1.2435) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute -
äåòàëè äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè óêàçàííîãî êàíàëà ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gof ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line Minute -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 1.2435 -
îïðåäåëèò äàëüíåéøåå ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD óæå â çîíå ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
1.2435 - 1.2335 - 1.2230) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
ñ ïåðñïåêòèâîé äîñòèæåíèÿ êîíå÷íîé Shiff Line Minute (
1.2170) è
îáíîâëåíèÿ ëîêàëüíîãî minimum 1.2073.
 ñëó÷àå æå ïðîáîÿ óðîâíÿ ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ
1.2575 íà âåðõíåé ãðàíèöå êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute
ñòàíåò âîçìîæíî ïðîäîëæåíèå âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû Åå Âåëè÷åñòâà ê öåëÿì:
- íèæíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL38.2 (
1.2640) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor;
- íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL (
1.2765) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute;
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL Minute (
1.2855);
-
ñðåäèííàÿ ëèíèÿ Median Line (
1.2940) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor;
-
êîíå÷íàÿ Shiff Line Minor (
1.2995).
Âàðèàíòû äâèæåíèÿ GBP/USD c 18 èþíÿ 2020 ã. ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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US Dollar vs
Japanese Yen Ðàçâèòèå äâèæåíèÿ âàëþòû "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà"
USD/JPY ñ 18 èþíÿ 2020 ã.
ñòàíåò îïðåäåëÿòüñÿ îòðàáîòêîé è íàïðàâëåíèåì ïðîáîÿ ãðàíèö çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ (
106.45 - 107.10 - 107.55) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute -
äåòàëè äâèæåíèÿ âíóòðè äàííîé çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ ñìîòðèì íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
Ïðè ïðîáîå ISL61.8 Minute -
óðîâåíü ñîïðîòèâëåíèÿ 107.55 -
ðàçâèòèå âîñõîäÿùåãî äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY ìîæåò áûòü ïðîäîëæåíî ê öåëÿì:
-
ñðåäèííàÿ ëèíèÿ Median Line (
108.05) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor;
- íà÷àëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ SSL Minute (
109.25);
- âåðõíÿÿ ãðàíèöà ISL61.8 (
109.45) çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor;
- êîíòðîëüíàÿ ëèíèÿ UTL Minute (
110.00).
Ïðîáîé íèæíåé ãðàíèöû ISL38.2 çîíû ðàâíîâåñèÿ âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minute -
óðîâåíü ïîääåðæêè 106.45 -
ñäåëàåò àêòóàëüíûì äîñòèæåíèå âàëþòîé "ñòðàíû âîñõîäÿùåãî ñîëíöà" ãðàíèö êàíàëà 1/2 Median Line (
106.00 - 104.70 - 103.40) âèë îïåðàöèîííîãî ìàñøòàáà Minor.
Ðàçìåòêà âàðèàíòîâ äâèæåíèÿ USD/JPY c 18 èþíÿ 2020 ã. ïîêàçàíà íà àíèìàöèîííîì *.gif ãðàôèêå (îòêðîåòñÿ â îòäåëüíîé âêëàäêå).
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Îáçîð ñîñòàâëåí áåç ó÷åòà íîâîñòíîãî ôîíà, îòêðûòèÿ òîðãîâûõ ñåññèé îñíîâíûõ ôèíàíñîâûõ öåíòðîâ è íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ ðóêîâîäñòâîì ê äåéñòâèþ (âûñòàâëåíèÿ îðäåðîâ "sell" èëè "buy").
Ôîðìóëà ðàñ÷åòà èíäåêñà äîëëàðà:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
ãäå ñòåïåííûå êîýôôèöèåíòû ñîîòâåòñòâóþò âåñàì âàëþò â êîðçèíå:
Åâðî — 57,6 %;
Èåíà — 13,6 %;
Ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ — 11,9 %;
Êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð — 9,1 %;
Øâåäñêàÿ êðîíà — 4,2 %;
Øâåéöàðñêèé ôðàíê — 3,6 %.
Ïåðâûé êîýôôèöèåíò â ôîðìóëå ïðèâîäèò çíà÷åíèå èíäåêñà ê 100 íà äàòó íà÷àëà îòñ÷¸òà – ìàðò 1973 ãîäà, êîãäà îñíîâíûå âàëþòû íà÷àëè ñâîáîäíî êîòèðîâàòüñÿ äðóã îòíîñèòåëüíî äðóãà. Áîëüøå àíàëèòèêè íà ñàéòå InstaForex.
ZUP è Âèëû Ýíäðþñà (òåðìèíû, ïîíÿòèÿ, ïàðàìåòðû).
Ìàòåðèàëû äëÿ èçó÷åíèÿ Àíàëèçà ZUP & APL`s.